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Working Paper Series

from Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
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2015-5: Domestic bond markets and inflation Downloads
Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel
2015-4: Does Medicare Part D save lives? Downloads
Abe Dunn and Adam Shapiro
2015-3: The effect of extended unemployment insurance benefits: evidence from the 2012-2013 phase-out Downloads
Henry S. Farber, Jesse Rothstein and Robert G. Valletta
2015-2: Explaining the boom-bust cycle in the U.S. housing market: a reverse-engineering approach Downloads
Paolo Gelain, Kevin Lansing and Gisle Natvik
2015-1: Resolving the spanning puzzle in macro-finance term structure models Downloads
Michael Bauer and Glenn Rudebusch
2014-28: Betting the house Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan M. Taylor
2014-27: A dynamic model of price signaling, consumer learning, and price adjustment Downloads
Matthew Osborne and Adam Shapiro
2014-26: Financial frictions, the housing market, and unemployment Downloads
William Branch, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Guillaume Rocheteau
2014-25: The international transmission of shocks: foreign bank branches in Hong Kong during crises Downloads
Simon Kwan, Eric T.C. Wong and Cho-hoi Hui
2014-24: Shopping time Downloads
Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, Etienne Wasmer and Shutian Zeng
2014-23: The great mortgaging: housing finance, crises, and business cycles Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
2014-22: Explaining exchange rate anomalies in a model with Taylor-rule fundamentals and consistent expectations Downloads
Kevin Lansing and Jun Ma
2014-21: The extent and cyclicality of career changes: evidence for the U.K Downloads
Carlos Carrillo-Tudela, Bart Hobijn, Powen She and Ludo Visschers
2014-20: Financial crises and the composition of cross-border lending Downloads
Eugenio Cerutti, Galina Hale and Camelia Minoiu
2014-19: The rise in home currency issuance Downloads
Galina Hale, Peter Jones and Mark Spiegel
2014-18: Swiss unconventional monetary policy: lessons for the transmission of quantitative easing Downloads
Jens Christensen and Signe Krogstrup
2014-17: Monetary policy and real exchange rate dynamics in sticky-price models Downloads
Carlos Carvalho and Fernanda Nechio
2014-16: Long-run risk is the worst-case scenario: ambiguity aversion and non-parametric estimation of the endowment process Downloads
Rhys Bidder and Ian Dew-Becker
2014-15: Productivity and potential output before, during, and after the Great Recession Downloads
John Fernald
2014-14: A wedge in the dual mandate: monetary policy and long-term unemployment Downloads
Glenn Rudebusch and John Williams
2014-13: Recent extensions of U.S. unemployment benefits: search responses in alternative labor market states Downloads
Robert Valletta
2014-12: Has U.S. monetary policy tracked the efficient interest rate? Downloads
Vasco Cúrdia, Andrea Ferrero, Ging Cee Ng and Andrea Tambalotti
2014-11: Labor markets in the global financial crisis: the good, the bad and the ugly Downloads
Mary Daly, John Fernald, Oscar Jorda and Fernanda Nechio
2014-10: The euro and the geography of international debt flows Downloads
Galina Hale and Maurice Obstfeld
2014-9: Inflation expectations and the news Downloads
Michael Bauer
2014-8: Did consumers want less debt? consumer credit demand versus supply in the wake of the 2008-2009 financial crisis Downloads
Reint Gropp, John Krainer and Elizabeth Laderman
2014-7: Monetary policy effectiveness in China: evidence from a FAVAR model Downloads
John Fernald, Mark Spiegel and Eric Swanson
2014-6: Scraping by: Income and program participation after the loss of extended unemployment benefits Downloads
Jesse Rothstein and Robert Valletta
2014-5: Mortgage choice in the housing boom: impacts of house price appreciation and borrower type Downloads
Frederick Furlong, Yelena Takhtamanova and David Lang
2014-4: Breaking the “Iron Rice Bowl” and precautionary swings: evidence from Chinese state-owned enterprises reform Downloads
Hui He, Feng Huang, Zheng Liu and Dongming Zhu
2014-3: Can spanned term structure factors drive stochastic yield volatility? Downloads
Jens Christensen, Jose Lopez and Glenn Rudebusch
2014-2: The future of U.S. economic growth Downloads
John Fernald and Charles Jones
2014-1: Modernization and discrete measures of democracy Downloads
Jess Benhabib, Alejandro Corvalen and Mark Spiegel
2013-40: Disability benefit growth and disability reform in the U.S.: lessons from other OECD nations Downloads
Richard Burkhauser, Mary Daly, Duncan McVicar and Roger Wilkins
2013-39: Modeling yields at the zero lower bound: are shadow rates the solution? Downloads
Jens Christensen and Glenn Rudebusch
2013-38: A probability-based stress test of Federal Reserve assets and income Downloads
Jens Christensen, Jose Lopez and Glenn Rudebusch
2013-37: Sovereigns versus banks: credit, crises, and consequences Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
2013-36: The impact of health care reform on physician payments: evidence from Massachusetts Downloads
Abe Dunn and Adam Shapiro
2013-35: Effects of earnings management and delays in loss recognition on bank opacity Downloads
Giuliano Iannotta and Simon Kwan
2013-34: A regime-switching model of the yield curve at the zero bound Downloads
Jens Christensen
2013-33: Monetary policy regimes and capital account restrictions in a small open economy Downloads
Zheng Liu and Mark Spiegel
2013-32: Okun’s macroscope and the changing cyclicality of underlying margins of adjustment Downloads
Mary C. Daly, John G. Fernald, Oscar Jorda and Fernanda Nechio
2013-31: Factor specificity and real rigidities Downloads
Carlos Carvalho and Fernanda Nechio
2013-30: Implications of labor market frictions for risk aversion and risk premia Downloads
Eric Swanson
2013-29: Frequency shifting Downloads
Rhys Bidder
2013-28: Doubts and variability: a robust perspective on exotic consumption series Downloads
Rhys Bidder and Matthew E. Smith
2013-27: The decline of the U.S. labor share Downloads
Michael Elsby, Bart Hobijn and Aysegül Sahin
2013-26: Does quantitative easing affect market liquidity? Downloads
Jens Christensen and James M. Gillan
2013-25: The time for austerity: estimating the average treatment effect of fiscal policy Downloads
Oscar Jorda and Alan Taylor
2013-24: Semiparametric estimates of monetary policy effects: string theory revisited Downloads
Joshua Angrist, Oscar Jorda and Guido Kuersteiner
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