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Working Paper Series

From Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
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2016-26: Stress Testing with Misspecified Models Downloads
Rhys Bidder, Raffaella Giacomini and Andrew McKenna
2016-25: FDI effects on the labor market of host countries Downloads
Galina Hale and Mingzhi Xu
2016-24: Estimating Matching Efficiency with Variable Search Effort Downloads
Andreas Hornstein and Marianna Kudlyak
2016-23: Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan M. Taylor
2016-22: Revisiting Gertler-Gilchrist Evidence on the Behavior of Small and Large Firms Downloads
Marianna Kudlyak and Juan M. Sanchez
2016-21: The Economic Effects of Weather: Evidence from Big Data on Small Places Downloads
Daniel Wilson
2016-20: Does Greater Inequality Lead to More Household Borrowing? New Evidence from Household Data Downloads
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Marianna Kudlyak and John Mondragon
2016-19: Sentiments and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States Downloads
Jess Benhabib and Mark Spiegel
2016-18: Reassessing Longer-Run U.S. Growth: How Low? Downloads
John Fernald
2016-17: Recent Flattening in the Higher Education Wage Premium: Polarization, Skill Downgrading, or Both? Downloads
Robert Valletta
2016-16: The Social Cost of Near-Rational Investment Downloads
Tarek A. Hassan and Thomas M. Mertens
2016-15: Currency Manipulation Downloads
Tarek A. Hassan, Thomas M. Mertens and Tony Zhang
2016-14: The Outlook for U.S. Labor-quality Growth Downloads
Canyon Bosler, Mary Daly, John Fernald and Bart Hobijn
2016-13: The Intensity of Job Search and Search Duration Downloads
R. Jason Faberman and Marianna Kudlyak
2016-12: A Portfolio Model of Quantitative Easing Downloads
Jens Christensen and Signe Krogstrup
2016-11: Measuring the natural rate of interest: International trends and determinants Downloads
Kathryn Holston, Thomas Laubach and John Williams
2016-10: Reserve requirements and optimal Chinese stabilization policy Downloads
Chun Chang, Zheng Liu, Mark Spiegel and Jingyi Zhang
2016-9: The slow job recovery in a macro model of search and recruiting intensity Downloads
Sylvain Leduc and Zheng Liu
2016-8: The pre-Great Recession slowdown in productivity Downloads
Gilbert Cette, John Fernald and Benoit Mojon
2016-7: Why has the cyclicality of productivity changed? What does it mean? Downloads
John Fernald and J. Christina Wang
2016-6: Measuring the effect of the zero lower bound on monetary policy Downloads
Carlos Carvalho, Eric Hsu and Fernanda Nechio
2016-5: Demographics and real interest rates: inspecting the mechanism Downloads
Carlos Carvalho, Andrea Ferrero and Fernanda Nechio
2016-4: The intensive and extensive margins of real wage adjustment Downloads
Mary Daly and Bart Hobijn
2016-3: Does the United States have a productivity slowdown or a measurement problem? Downloads
David M. Byrne, John Fernald and Marshall B. Reinsdorf
2016-2: Credit-fuelled bubbles Downloads
Antonio Doblas-Madrid and Kevin Lansing
2016-1: Crisis transmission through the global banking network Downloads
Galina Hale, Tumer Kapan and Camelia Minoiu
2015-22: Disentangling goods, labor, and credit market frictions in three European economies Downloads
Thomas Brzustowski, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Etienne Wasmer
2015-21: Not so disconnected: exchange rates and the capital stock Downloads
Tarek Hassan, Thomas M. Mertens and Tony Zhang
2015-20: Credit frictions and optimal monetary policy Downloads
Vasco Cúrdia and Michael Woodford
2015-19: Cyclical and market determinants of involuntary part-time employment Downloads
Robert Valletta, Leila Bengali and Catherine van der List
2015-18: Unconventional monetary policy and the dollar: conventional signs, unconventional magnitudes Downloads
Reuven Glick and Sylvain Leduc
2015-17: Sticker shocks: using VAT changes to estimate upper-level elasticities of substitution Downloads
Bart Hobijn and Fernanda Nechio
2015-16: Measuring the natural rate of interest redux Downloads
Thomas Laubach and John Williams
2015-15: Robust bond risk premia Downloads
Michael Bauer and James Hamilton
2015-14: Aggregation level in stress testing models Downloads
Galina Hale, John Krainer and Erin McCarthy
2015-13: Robust stress testing Downloads
Rhys Bidder and Andrew McKenna
2015-12: Is China fudging its figures? Evidence from trading partner data Downloads
John Fernald, Eric Hsu and Mark Spiegel
2015-11: Currency unions and trade: a post-EMU mea culpa Downloads
Reuven Glick and Andrew Rose
2015-10: Leveraged bubbles Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
2015-9: Bond vigilantes and inflation Downloads
Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel
2015-8: Protecting working-age people with disabilities: experiences of four industrialized nations Downloads
Richard Burkhauser, Mary Daly and Nicolas Ziebarth
2015-7: Physician competition and the provision of care: evidence from heart attacks Downloads
Abe Dunn and Adam Shapiro
2015-6: The effect of state taxes on the geographical location of top earners: evidence from star scientists Downloads
Enrico Moretti and Daniel Wilson
2015-5: Domestic bond markets and inflation Downloads
Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel
2015-4: Does Medicare Part D save lives? Downloads
Abe Dunn and Adam Shapiro
2015-3: The effect of extended unemployment insurance benefits: evidence from the 2012-2013 phase-out Downloads
Henry S. Farber, Jesse Rothstein and Robert Valletta
2015-2: Explaining the boom-bust cycle in the U.S. housing market: a reverse-engineering approach Downloads
Paolo Gelain, Kevin Lansing and Gisle Natvik
2015-1: Resolving the spanning puzzle in macro-finance term structure models Downloads
Michael Bauer and Glenn Rudebusch
2014-28: Betting the house Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
2014-27: A dynamic model of price signaling, consumer learning, and price adjustment Downloads
Matthew Osborne and Adam Shapiro
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