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Working Paper Series

From Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
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2016-8: The pre-Great Recession slowdown in productivity Downloads
Gilbert Cette, John Fernald and Benoit Mojon
2016-7: Why has the cyclicality of productivity changed? What does it mean? Downloads
John Fernald and J. Christina Wang
2016-6: Measuring the effect of the zero lower bound on monetary policy Downloads
Carlos Carvalho, Eric Hsu and Fernanda Nechio
2016-5: Demographics and real interest rates: inspecting the mechanism Downloads
Carlos Carvalho, Andrea Ferrero and Fernanda Nechio
2016-4: The intensive and extensive margins of real wage adjustment Downloads
Mary Daly and Bart Hobijn
2016-3: Does the United States have a productivity slowdown or a measurement problem? Downloads
David M. Byrne, John Fernald and Marshall B. Reinsdorf
2016-2: Credit-fuelled bubbles Downloads
Antonio Doblas-Madrid and Kevin Lansing
2016-1: Crisis transmission through the global banking network Downloads
Galina Hale, Tumer Kapan and Camelia Minoiu
2015-22: Disentangling goods, labor, and credit market frictions in three European economies Downloads
Thomas Brzustowski, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Etienne Wasmer
2015-21: Not so disconnected: exchange rates and the capital stock Downloads
Tarek Hassan, Thomas M. Mertens and Tony Zhang
2015-20: Credit frictions and optimal monetary policy Downloads
Vasco Cúrdia and Michael Woodford
2015-19: Cyclical and market determinants of involuntary part-time employment Downloads
Robert Valletta, Leila Bengali and Catherine van der List
2015-18: Unconventional monetary policy and the dollar: conventional signs, unconventional magnitudes Downloads
Reuven Glick and Sylvain Leduc
2015-17: Sticker shocks: using VAT changes to estimate upper-level elasticities of substitution Downloads
Bart Hobijn and Fernanda Nechio
2015-16: Measuring the natural rate of interest redux Downloads
Thomas Laubach and John Williams
2015-15: Robust bond risk premia Downloads
Michael Bauer and James Hamilton
2015-14: Aggregation level in stress testing models Downloads
Galina Hale, John Krainer and Erin McCarthy
2015-13: Robust stress testing Downloads
Rhys Bidder and Andrew McKenna
2015-12: Is China fudging its figures? Evidence from trading partner data Downloads
John Fernald, Eric Hsu and Mark Spiegel
2015-11: Currency unions and trade: a post-EMU mea culpa Downloads
Reuven Glick and Andrew Rose
2015-10: Leveraged bubbles Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
2015-9: Bond vigilantes and inflation Downloads
Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel
2015-8: Protecting working-age people with disabilities: experiences of four industrialized nations Downloads
Richard Burkhauser, Mary Daly and Nicolas Ziebarth
2015-7: Physician competition and the provision of care: evidence from heart attacks Downloads
Abe Dunn and Adam Shapiro
2015-6: The effect of state taxes on the geographical location of top earners: evidence from star scientists Downloads
Enrico Moretti and Daniel Wilson
2015-5: Domestic bond markets and inflation Downloads
Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel
2015-4: Does Medicare Part D save lives? Downloads
Abe Dunn and Adam Shapiro
2015-3: The effect of extended unemployment insurance benefits: evidence from the 2012-2013 phase-out Downloads
Henry S. Farber, Jesse Rothstein and Robert Valletta
2015-2: Explaining the boom-bust cycle in the U.S. housing market: a reverse-engineering approach Downloads
Paolo Gelain, Kevin Lansing and Gisle Natvik
2015-1: Resolving the spanning puzzle in macro-finance term structure models Downloads
Michael Bauer and Glenn Rudebusch
2014-28: Betting the house Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
2014-27: A dynamic model of price signaling, consumer learning, and price adjustment Downloads
Matthew Osborne and Adam Shapiro
2014-26: Financial frictions, the housing market, and unemployment Downloads
William Branch, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Guillaume Rocheteau
2014-25: The international transmission of shocks: foreign bank branches in Hong Kong during crises Downloads
Simon Kwan, Eric T.C. Wong and Cho-hoi Hui
2014-24: Shopping time Downloads
Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, Etienne Wasmer and Shutian Zeng
2014-23: The great mortgaging: housing finance, crises, and business cycles Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
2014-22: Explaining exchange rate anomalies in a model with Taylor-rule fundamentals and consistent expectations Downloads
Kevin Lansing and Jun Ma
2014-21: The extent and cyclicality of career changes: evidence for the U.K Downloads
Carlos Carrillo-Tudela, Bart Hobijn, Powen She and Ludo Visschers
2014-20: Financial crises and the composition of cross-border lending Downloads
Eugenio Cerutti, Galina Hale and Camelia Minoiu
2014-19: The rise in home currency issuance Downloads
Galina Hale, Peter Jones and Mark Spiegel
2014-18: Swiss unconventional monetary policy: lessons for the transmission of quantitative easing Downloads
Jens Christensen and Signe Krogstrup
2014-17: Monetary policy and real exchange rate dynamics in sticky-price models Downloads
Carlos Carvalho and Fernanda Nechio
2014-16: Long-run risk is the worst-case scenario: ambiguity aversion and non-parametric estimation of the endowment process Downloads
Rhys Bidder and Ian Dew-Becker
2014-15: Productivity and potential output before, during, and after the Great Recession Downloads
John Fernald
2014-14: A wedge in the dual mandate: monetary policy and long-term unemployment Downloads
Glenn Rudebusch and John Williams
2014-13: Recent extensions of U.S. unemployment benefits: search responses in alternative labor market states Downloads
Robert Valletta
2014-12: Has U.S. monetary policy tracked the efficient interest rate? Downloads
Vasco Cúrdia, Andrea Ferrero, Ging Cee Ng and Andrea Tambalotti
2014-11: Labor markets in the global financial crisis: the good, the bad and the ugly Downloads
Mary Daly, John Fernald, Oscar Jorda and Fernanda Nechio
2014-10: The euro and the geography of international debt flows Downloads
Galina Hale and Maurice Obstfeld
2014-9: Inflation expectations and the news Downloads
Michael Bauer
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