Abstract:
The ambiguity reported in previous research as regards the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on domestic investments is shown to be related to how industries are organized. Based on a simple model including monitoring and trade costs, we argue that a complementary relationship should prevail in vertically integrated industries, whereas a substitutionary relationship can be expected in horizontally organized production. Applying iterative SUR-technique, the empirical analysis confirms a significant difference between the two categories of industries. To our knowledge, this is the first attempt to reconcile the inconclusiveness reported in previous empirical analyses.