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What Mean Impacts Miss: Distributional Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments

Marianne P. Bitler (), Jonah B. Gelbach and Hilary Williamson Hoynes
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Jonah B. Gelbach: University of Maryland

No 1728, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Abstract: Labor supply theory predicts systematic heterogeneity in the impact of recent welfare reforms on earnings, transfers, and income. Yet most welfare reform research focuses on mean impacts. We investigate the importance of heterogeneity using random-assignment data from Connecticut's Jobs First waiver, which features key elements of post-1996 welfare programs. Estimated quantile treatment effects exhibit the substantial heterogeneity predicted by labor supply theory. Thus mean impacts miss a great deal. Looking separately at samples of dropouts and other women does not improve the performance of mean impacts. We conclude that welfare reform's effects are likely both more varied and more extensive than has been recognized.

Keywords: treatment effect heterogeneity; welfare reform; distributional effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J2 I38 H53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005-07
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Related works:
Working Paper: What Mean Impacts Miss: Distributional Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments (2003) Downloads
Working Paper: What Mean Impacts Miss: Distributional Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments (2005) Downloads
Working Paper: What Mean Impacts Miss: Distributional Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments (2003) Downloads
Journal Article: What Mean Impacts Miss: Distributional Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments (2006)
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