A Life-Cycle Model of Outmigration and Economic Assimilation of Immigrants in Germany

Charles Bellemare ()

Cahiers de recherche from CIRPEE

Abstract: This paper estimates a structural dynamic model of outmigration which incorporate several features of existing outmigration theories but distinguishes itself by introducing uncertainty about future earnings and preferences which allows immigrants to revise their duration decisions throughout their migration experience. Estimation results indicate that outmigration does not depend exclusively on earnings differentials. Immigrants are found to be forward looking decision makers, and simulations show that predicted migration durations can be very sensitive to changes in the economic environment, and differ considerably from those of a myopic model.

Keywords: Outmigration; Structural dynamic programming models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J61 C61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004
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http://www.cirpee.org/fileadmin/documents/Cahiers_2004/CIRPEE04-30.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: A life-cycle model of outmigration and economic assimilation of immigrants in Germany (2004)
Working Paper: A Life-Cycle Model of Outmigration and Economic Assimilation of Immigrants in Germany (2004)
Journal Article: A life-cycle model of outmigration and economic assimilation of immigrants in Germany (2007)
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lvl:lacicr:0430

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