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Details about Vugar Ahmadov

E-mail: This e-mail address is bad, please ask Vugar Ahmadov to update the entry in the RePEc Author Service or the correct address.
Postal address:32 Rashid Behbudov str., AZ1014 Baku, Azerbaijan
Workplace:Azərbaycan Respublikasının Mərkəzi Bankı (Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Vugar Ahmadov.

Last updated 2016-08-02. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pah186


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Working Papers

2020

  1. Modeling Azerbaijan’s Inflation and Output Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Model
    IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies Downloads

2018

  1. Oil Prices and Inflation: Identifying Channels for Oil Exporters
    Working Papers, Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Structural Budget Balances in Oil-Rich Countries: The Cases of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Russia
    IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic (2017) Downloads

2016

  1. Forecasting inflation in post-oil boom years: A case for non-linear models?
    Working Papers, Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic Downloads View citations (1)

2015

  1. Brent nefti opsiyonlarından neytral riskli ehtimal paylanmasının əldə olunması
    (Extracting risk-neutral probability distribution from Brent oil options)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
  2. Ölkə iqtisadiyyatı üzrə göstəricilərin modelləşdirilməsi və proqnozlaşdırılması: problemlər və praktiki çətinliklər
    (Modeling and forecasting of macroeconomic variables of the national economy: problems and practical issues)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

2014

  1. Azərbaycan üzrə DSÜT modeli: qiymətləndirmə və proqnozlaşdırma
    (A DSGE model for Azerbaijan: estimation and forecasting)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
  2. Beating a Random Walk: “Hard Times” for Forecasting Inflation in Post-Oil Boom Years?
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Business Cycles in Oil Exporting Countries: A Declining Role for Oil?
    2nd International Conference on Energy, Regional Integration and Socio-Economic Development, EcoMod Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies (2014) Downloads View citations (6)

2013

  1. Oil Windfalls, Fiscal Policy and Money Market Disequilibrium
    William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Downloads View citations (8)

2012

  1. Currency substitution in an oil-rich CIS country: The case of Azerbaijan
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (2)

2008

  1. Azerbaijan’s WTO Accession Process and Its Potential Impact on Vulnerable Non-Competitive Segments of the Economy
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

Journal Articles

2018

  1. Forecasting inflation in post-oil boom years: A case for regime switches?
    Journal of Economics and Finance, 2018, 42, (2), 369-385 Downloads View citations (1)
 
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