Details about Tim Oliver Berg

Access statistics for papers by Tim Oliver Berg.

Last updated 2021-08-17. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pbe572

Working Papers

2016

1. Business Uncertainty and the Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Germany
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (4)
   See also Journal Article in Macroeconomic Dynamics (2019)

2015

2. Forecast Accuracy of a BVAR under Alternative Specifications of the Zero Lower Bound
   ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (6)
   See also Journal Article in Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics (2017)
3. Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Forecasting (2016)

2014

4. Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (4)
   See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2015)
5. Time Varying Fiscal Multipliers in Germany
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article in Review of Economics (2015)

2013

6. Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?
   VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association View citations (6)
   Also in ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2013) View citations (6)
   See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2015)

2012

7. Funktionswandel der EZB?
   Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics
   See also Journal Article in Wirtschaftsdienst (2012)
8. Inflation Expectations and Readiness to Spend: Cross-Sectional Evidence
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (15)
   See also Journal Article in American Economic Journal: Economic Policy (2015)

2011

9. Technology news and the U.S. economy: Time variation and structural changes
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
   See also Journal Article in Scottish Journal of Political Economy (2015)

2010

10. Cross-country evidence on the relation between stock prices and the current account
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (8)
    Also in IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) (2009)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics (2013)
11. Do monetary and technology shocks move euro area stock prices?
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Empirical Economics (2012)
12. Exploring the international transmission of U.S. stock price movements
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (3)

Journal Articles

2019

1. BUSINESS UNCERTAINTY AND THE EFFECTIVENESS OF FISCAL POLICY IN GERMANY
   Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2019, 23, (4), 1442-1470 View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper (2016)

2017

2. Forecast accuracy of a BVAR under alternative specifications of the zero lower bound
   Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2017, 21, (2), 29 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper (2015)

2016

3. Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models
   Journal of Forecasting, 2016, 35, (8), 718-740 View citations (6)
   See also Working Paper (2015)
4. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2016/2017: Aufschwung in Deutschland geht in die zweite Halbzeit
   ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (12), 21-57 View citations (2)

2015

5. CESifo World Economic Survey February 2015
   ifo World Economic Survey, 2015, 14, (01), 1-26
6. Inflation Expectations and Readiness to Spend: Cross-Sectional Evidence
   American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2015, 7, (1), 1-35 View citations (174)
   See also Working Paper (2012)
7. Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2015, 31, (4), 1067-1095 View citations (19)
   See also Working Paper (2013)
   Working Paper (2014)
8. Technology News and the US Economy: Time Variation and Structural Changes
   Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2015, 62, (3), 227-263 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper (2011)
9. Time Varying Fiscal Multipliers in Germany
   Review of Economics, 2015, 66, (1), 13-46 View citations (12)
   See also Working Paper (2014)
10. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2015/2016: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2015, 68, (12), 22-62 View citations (2)
11. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2015/2017: Verhaltener Aufschwung setzt sich fort
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2015, 68, (24), 23-66 View citations (1)

2014

12. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2014/2015: Deutsche Wirtschaft gewinnt allmählich wieder an Schwung
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2014, 67, (24), 37-81 View citations (3)
13. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2014/2015: Deutscher Aufschwung setzt sich fort
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2014, 67, (13), 17-58 View citations (2)

2013

14. CESifo World Economic Survey February 2013
    ifo World Economic Survey, 2013, 12, (01), 1-25 View citations (2)
15. Cross-country evidence on the relation between stock prices and the current account
    Applied Economics, 2013, 45, (16), 2267-2277 View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
16. Vorteile Deutschlands durch die Währungsunion?
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2013, 66, (10), 50-54 View citations (1)
17. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Deutsche Konjunkturlokomotive kommt unter Dampf
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2013, 66, (24), 20-67 View citations (2)
18. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Günstige Perspektiven für die deutsche Konjunktur
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2013, 66, (13), 17-64 View citations (2)

2012

19. Did monetary or technology shocks move euro area stock prices?
    Empirical Economics, 2012, 43, (2), 693-722 View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
20. Funktionswandel der EZB?
    Wirtschaftsdienst, 2012, 92, (2), 79-94 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
21. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Erhöhte Unsicherheit dämpft deutsche Konjunktur erneut
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2012, 65, (13), 15-68 View citations (3)
22. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Eurokrise verzögert Aufschwung
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2012, 65, (24), 15-65

2011

23. CESifo World Economic Survey November 2011
    ifo World Economic Survey, 2011, 10, (04), 1-25
24. Was kosten Eurobonds?
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2011, 64, (17), 25-33 View citations (8)
25. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Aufschwung geht langsamer voran
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2011, 64, (13), 16-62 View citations (3)
26. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Schuldenkrise bremst deutsche Wirtschaft aus
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2011, 64, (24), 26-72 View citations (1)

2010

27. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich verlangsamt fort
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2010, 63, (24), 18-68 View citations (4)