Details about Valerie Cerra

Access statistics for papers by Valerie Cerra.

Last updated 2023-04-18. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pce34

Working Papers

2021

1. Financial Crises, Investment Slumps, and Slow Recoveries
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (5)
2. Links Between Growth, Inequality, and Poverty: A Survey
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (16)
   Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (2021) View citations (12)
3. Trade and Inclusive Growth
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (6)
4. Trade, Jobs, and Inequality
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund

2020

5. Hysteresis and Business Cycles
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (15)
   Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2020) View citations (15)
   See also Journal Article Hysteresis and Business Cycles, Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association (2023) View citations (26) (2023)

2017

6. Booms, Crises, and Recoveries: A New Paradigm of the Business Cycle and its Policy Implications
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (48)
7. Launching Export Accelerations in Latin America and the World
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (6)

2016

8. Highways to Heaven: Infrastructure Determinants and Trends in Latin America and the Caribbean
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (7)
9. Inflation and the Black Market Exchange Rate in a Repressed Market: A Model of Venezuela
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (5)

2009

10. International Evidence on Recovery from Recessions
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (33)
    See also Journal Article INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE ON RECOVERY FROM RECESSIONS, Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International (2013) View citations (51) (2013)

2008

11. Foreign Aid and Real Exchange Rate Adjustments in a Financially Constrained Dependent Economy
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (25)
12. The Monetary Model Strikes Back: Evidence from the World
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article The monetary model strikes back: Evidence from the world, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (2010) View citations (64) (2010)

2007

13. Growth dynamics: the myth of economic recovery
    BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements View citations (12)
    Also in Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany (2005) View citations (41)
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2005) View citations (45)
    See also Journal Article Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2008) View citations (849) (2008)

2005

14. Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: What Are the Consequences of China’s WTO Entry for India’s Trade?
    International Trade, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (5)
    Also in Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project (2004)
15. Eurosclerosis or Financial Collapse: Why Did Swedish Incomes Fall Behind?
    Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (10)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2005) View citations (11)
16. Robbing the Riches: Capital Flight, Institutions, and Instability
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (10)
17. The Need for Pension Reform
    Public Economics, University Library of Munich, Germany

2003

18. Did Output Recover From the Asian Crisis?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (24)
    See also Journal Article Did Output Recover from the Asian Crisis?, IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan (2005) View citations (40) (2005)

2002

19. An Empirical Analysis of China's Export Behavior
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (9)
20. How Competitive Is Irish Manufacturing?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article How Competitive is Irish Manufacturing?, The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies (2003) View citations (10) (2003)

2000

21. Alternative Methods of Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap: An Application to Sweden
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (93)
22. Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia: A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (14)
23. What Caused the 1991 Currency Crisis in India?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article What Caused the 1991 Currency Crisis in India?, IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan (2002) View citations (23) (2002)

1999

24. China's Trade Flows: Changing Price Sensitivies and the Reform Process
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (30)

Journal Articles

2023

1. Hysteresis and Business Cycles
   Journal of Economic Literature, 2023, 61, (1), 181-225 View citations (26)
   See also Working Paper Hysteresis and Business Cycles, CEPR Discussion Papers (2020) View citations (15) (2020)

2021

2. Fighting the scarring effects of COVID-19
   (Stagnation traps)
   Industrial and Corporate Change, 2021, 30, (2), 459-466 View citations (3)

2019

3. How can a strong currency or drop in oil prices raise inflation and the black-market premium?
   Economic Modelling, 2019, 76, (C), 1-13 View citations (7)

2017

4. Determinants of Infrastructure and Its Financing
   Emerging Economy Studies, 2017, 3, (2), 113-126 View citations (7)

2014

5. Out-of-Sample Performance of the Macroeconomic Balance Approach to the Real Exchange Rate in Sub-Saharan Africa
   Journal of African Economies, 2014, 23, (3), 346-360

2013

6. INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE ON RECOVERY FROM RECESSIONS
   Contemporary Economic Policy, 2013, 31, (2), 424-439 View citations (51)
   See also Working Paper International Evidence on Recovery from Recessions, IMF Working Papers (2009) View citations (33) (2009)

2010

7. The monetary model strikes back: Evidence from the world
   Journal of International Economics, 2010, 81, (2), 184-196 View citations (64)
   See also Working Paper The Monetary Model Strikes Back: Evidence from the World, IMF Working Papers (2008) View citations (10) (2008)

2009

8. Foreign Transfers and Real Exchange Rate Adjustments in a Financially Constrained Dependent Economy
   Open Economies Review, 2009, 20, (2), 147-181 View citations (16)

2008

9. Business cycle dynamics in a small open economy
   Applied Economics Letters, 2008, 15, (15), 1153-1157
10. Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery
    American Economic Review, 2008, 98, (1), 439-57 View citations (849)
    See also Working Paper Growth dynamics: the myth of economic recovery, BIS Working Papers (2007) View citations (12) (2007)
11. Robbing the Riches: Capital Flight, Institutions and Debt
    Journal of Development Studies, 2008, 44, (8), 1190-1213 View citations (30)

2005

12. Did Output Recover from the Asian Crisis?
    IMF Staff Papers, 2005, 52, (1), 1-23 View citations (40)
    See also Working Paper Did Output Recover From the Asian Crisis?, IMF Working Papers (2003) View citations (24) (2003)

2003

13. How Competitive is Irish Manufacturing?
    The Economic and Social Review, 2003, 34, (2), 173-193 View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper How Competitive Is Irish Manufacturing?, IMF Working Papers (2002) View citations (6) (2002)
14. How responsive is Chinese export supply to market signals?
    China Economic Review, 2003, 14, (3), 350-370 View citations (17)

2002

15. Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia’s Currency Crisis
    Review of International Economics, 2002, 10, (1), 36-44 View citations (49)
16. What Caused the 1991 Currency Crisis in India?
    IMF Staff Papers, 2002, 49, (3), 5 View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper What Caused the 1991 Currency Crisis in India?, IMF Working Papers (2000) View citations (12) (2000)