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Details about Valerie Cerra

Workplace:International Monetary Fund (IMF), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Valerie Cerra.

Last updated 2020-08-22. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pce34


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Working Papers

2020

  1. Hysteresis and Business Cycles
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2020) Downloads

2017

  1. Booms, Crises, and Recoveries: A New Paradigm of the Business Cycle and its Policy Implications
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (11)
  2. Launching Export Accelerations in Latin America and the World
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads

2016

  1. Highways to Heaven; Infrastructure Determinants and Trends in Latin America and the Caribbean
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Inflation and the Black Market Exchange Rate in a Repressed Market; A Model of Venezuela
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (1)

2009

  1. International Evidence on Recovery from Recessions
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Journal Article in Contemporary Economic Policy (2013)

2008

  1. Foreign Aid and Real Exchange Rate Adjustments in a Financially Constrained Dependent Economy
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (7)
  2. The Monetary Model Strikes Back; Evidence from the World
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Economics (2010)

2007

  1. Growth dynamics: the myth of economic recovery
    BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany (2005) Downloads View citations (31)
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2005) Downloads View citations (28)

    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2008)

2005

  1. Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: What Are the Consequences of China’s WTO Entry for India’s Trade?
    International Trade, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2005) Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Eurosclerosis or Financial Collapse: Why Did Swedish Incomes Fall Behind?
    Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2005) Downloads
  3. Robbing the Riches; Capital Flight, Institutions, and Instability
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (4)
  4. The Need for Pension Reform
    Public Economics, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

2003

  1. Did Output Recover From the Asian Crisis?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
    See also Journal Article in IMF Staff Papers (2005)

2002

  1. An Empirical Analysis of China's Export Behavior
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (9)
  2. How Competitive Is Irish Manufacturing?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in The Economic and Social Review (2003)

2000

  1. Alternative Methods of Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap; An Application to Sweden
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
  2. Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia; A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
  3. What Caused the 1991 Currency Crisis in India?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article in IMF Staff Papers (2002)

1999

  1. China's Trade Flows; Changing Price Sensitivies and the Reform Process
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads

Journal Articles

2019

  1. How can a strong currency or drop in oil prices raise inflation and the black-market premium?
    Economic Modelling, 2019, 76, (C), 1-13 Downloads

2014

  1. Out-of-Sample Performance of the Macroeconomic Balance Approach to the Real Exchange Rate in Sub-Saharan Africa
    Journal of African Economies, 2014, 23, (3), 346-360 Downloads

2013

  1. INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE ON RECOVERY FROM RECESSIONS
    Contemporary Economic Policy, 2013, 31, (2), 424-439 Downloads View citations (25)
    See also Working Paper (2009)

2010

  1. The monetary model strikes back: Evidence from the world
    Journal of International Economics, 2010, 81, (2), 184-196 Downloads View citations (44)
    See also Working Paper (2008)

2009

  1. Foreign Transfers and Real Exchange Rate Adjustments in a Financially Constrained Dependent Economy
    Open Economies Review, 2009, 20, (2), 147-181 Downloads View citations (13)

2008

  1. Business cycle dynamics in a small open economy
    Applied Economics Letters, 2008, 15, (15), 1153-1157 Downloads
  2. Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery
    American Economic Review, 2008, 98, (1), 439-57 Downloads View citations (559)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
  3. Robbing the Riches: Capital Flight, Institutions and Debt
    Journal of Development Studies, 2008, 44, (8), 1190-1213 Downloads View citations (19)

2005

  1. Did Output Recover from the Asian Crisis?
    IMF Staff Papers, 2005, 52, (1), 1-23 Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper (2003)

2003

  1. How Competitive is Irish Manufacturing?
    The Economic and Social Review, 2003, 34, (2), 173-193 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
  2. How responsive is Chinese export supply to market signals?
    China Economic Review, 2003, 14, (3), 350-370 Downloads View citations (14)

2002

  1. Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia’s Currency Crisis
    Review of International Economics, 2002, 10, (1), 36-44 Downloads View citations (41)
  2. What Caused the 1991 Currency Crisis in India?
    IMF Staff Papers, 2002, 49, (3), 5 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper (2000)
 
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