Details about Douglas Elmendorf
Access statistics for papers by Douglas Elmendorf.
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Short-id: pel79
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Working Papers
2025
- Dynamic Scoring: A Progress Report on Why, When, and How
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
2024
- Fiscal policy and the pandemic-era surge in US inflation: Lessons for the future
Working Paper Series, Peterson Institute for International Economics
- Tackling the UK's regional economic inequality: Binding constraints and avenues for policy intervention
Working Paper Series, Peterson Institute for International Economics
2019
- Taxation of Labor Income and the Demand for Risky Assets
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) 
Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1996) View citations (7) NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1991) View citations (15)
See also Journal Article Taxation of Labor Income and the Demand for Risky Assets, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (2000) View citations (46) (2000)
- The Effect of Deficit-Reduction Laws on Real Interest Rates
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (3)
Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1996) View citations (8)
- The Effect of Interest-Rate Changes on Household Saving and Consumption: A Survey
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (14)
Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1996) View citations (27)
2007
- The evolution of household income volatility
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (36)
See also Journal Article The Evolution of Household Income Volatility, The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter (2012) View citations (89) (2012)
2005
- Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity?
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (15)
See also Journal Article Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity?, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2006) View citations (228) (2006)
2001
- Do provisional estimates of output miss economic turning points?
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (36)
- Fiscal Policy and Social Security Policy During the 1990s
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)
2000
- Should America save for its old age? Population aging, national saving, and fiscal policy
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (26)
1999
- Government Debt
Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics View citations (62)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1998) View citations (20) Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research (1998) View citations (16) Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1998) View citations (18)
See also Chapter Government debt, Handbook of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (1999) View citations (76) (1999)
1998
- The effect of stock prices on the demand for money market mutual funds
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (8)
1997
- Declining required reserves and the volatility of the federal funds rate
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (28)
- Restraining the Leviathan: Property Tax Limitation in Massachusetts
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1997) View citations (3)
See also Journal Article Restraining the Leviathan: property tax limitation in Massachusetts, Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier (1999) View citations (32) (1999)
1995
- The Deficit Gamble
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (15)
Also in Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research (1995) View citations (10)
See also Journal Article The Deficit Gamble, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (1998) View citations (36) (1998)
1993
- Actual Budget Deficit Expectations and Interest Rates
Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research View citations (13)
- Demographic Characteristics and the Public Bundle
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (54)
See also Journal Article Demographic Characteristics and the Public Bundle, Public Finance = Finances publiques (1993) View citations (50) (1993)
1992
- The Effect of News on Bond Prices: Evidence from the United Kingdom 1900-1920
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc 
See also Journal Article The Effect of News on Bond Prices: Evidence from the United Kingdom, 1900-1920, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (1996) View citations (5) (1996)
1989
- Budget Deficits, Tax Incentives and Inflation: A Surprising Lesson From The 1983-84 Recovery
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
1987
- Taxes, Budget Deficits ad Consumer Spending: Some New Evidence
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
Journal Articles
2024
- Wolf, Martin. The Crisis of Democratic Capitalism
Journal of Economic Literature, 2024, 62, (2), 818-20
2020
- National Fiscal Policies to Fight Recessions in US States
AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2020, 110, 131-36
2019
- Our troubling fiscal situation
Business Economics, 2019, 54, (2), 131-133
2017
- Federal Budget Policy with an Aging Population and Persistently Low Interest Rates
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2017, 31, (3), 175-94 View citations (15)
- Federal policy and economic growth
Business Economics, 2017, 52, (3), 149-153 View citations (1)
2015
- Designing Federal Budget Policy to Spur Economic Growth
Business Economics, 2015, 50, (4), 162-168
- “Dynamic Scoring”: Why and How to Include Macroeconomic Effects in Budget Estimates for Legislative Proposals
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2015, 46, (2 (Fall)), 91-149 View citations (3)
2014
- CBO’s Outlook for the Economy in February 2014
Business Economics, 2014, 49, (3), 142-148
2012
- Choices for Federal Spending and Taxes
Business Economics, 2012, 47, (3), 161-164
- The Evolution of Household Income Volatility
The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 2012, 12, (2), 42 View citations (89)
See also Working Paper The evolution of household income volatility, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2007) View citations (36) (2007)
2011
- Four Observations about the Federal Budget
Business Economics, 2011, 46, (3), 139-143
2008
- Distributional Effects of the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts: How Do Financing and Behavioral Responses Matter?
National Tax Journal, 2008, 61, (3), 365-80 View citations (8)
2007
- Macroeconomic implications of changes in micro volatility - discussion
Proceedings, 2007, (Nov)
2006
- Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity?
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2006, 53, (1), 123-150 View citations (228)
See also Working Paper Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity?, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2005) View citations (15) (2005)
- Financial innovation and the Great Moderation: what do household data say?
Proceedings, 2006, (Nov) View citations (13)
2002
- Short-Run Effects of Fiscal Policy With Forward-Looking Financial Markets
National Tax Journal, 2002, 55, (3), 357-86 View citations (15)
2000
- Should America Save for Its Old Age? Fiscal Policy, Population Aging, and National Saving
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2000, 14, (3), 57-74 View citations (57)
- Social Security Reform and National Saving in an Era of Budget Surpluses
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2000, 31, (2), 1-72 View citations (12)
- Taxation of Labor Income and the Demand for Risky Assets
International Economic Review, 2000, 41, (3), 801-33 View citations (46)
See also Working Paper Taxation of Labor Income and the Demand for Risky Assets, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2019) (2019)
1999
- Restraining the Leviathan: property tax limitation in Massachusetts
Journal of Public Economics, 1999, 71, (3), 313-334 View citations (32)
See also Working Paper Restraining the Leviathan: Property Tax Limitation in Massachusetts, NBER Working Papers (1997) View citations (2) (1997)
1998
- The Deficit Gamble
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1998, 30, (4), 699-720 View citations (36)
See also Working Paper The Deficit Gamble, NBER Working Papers (1995) View citations (15) (1995)
1996
- The Effect of News on Bond Prices: Evidence from the United Kingdom, 1900-1920
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1996, 78, (2), 341-44 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper The Effect of News on Bond Prices: Evidence from the United Kingdom 1900-1920, NBER Working Papers (1992) (1992)
1994
- Labor Market Effects of the Administrator's Health Proposal
National Tax Journal, 1994, 47, (3), 485-96
1993
- Demographic Characteristics and the Public Bundle
Public Finance = Finances publiques, 1993, 48, (Supplement), 178-98 View citations (50)
See also Working Paper Demographic Characteristics and the Public Bundle, NBER Working Papers (1993) View citations (54) (1993)
1990
- Government Debt, Government Spending, and Private Sector Behavior Revisited: Comment
American Economic Review, 1990, 80, (3), 589-99 View citations (29)
Chapters
2017
- Comment on chapters 1 and 2
A chapter in Education, Skills, and Technical Change: Implications for Future US GDP Growth, 2017, pp 111-114
2012
- Comment on "Game Over: Simulating Unsustainable Fiscal Policy"
A chapter in Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis, 2012, pp 202-209
2009
- Comment on "Reducing Social Security PRA Risk at the Individual Level: Lifecycle Funds and No-Loss Strategies"
A chapter in Social Security Policy in a Changing Environment, 2009, pp 292-298
1999
- Government debt
Chapter 25 in Handbook of Macroeconomics, 1999, vol. 1, Part C, pp 1615-1669 View citations (76)
See also Working Paper Government Debt, Harvard University Department of Economics (1999) View citations (62) (1999)
1989
- Budget Deficits, Tax Incentives, and Inflation: A Surprising Lesson from the 1983–1984 Recovery
A chapter in Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 3, 1989, pp 1-24 View citations (1)
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