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Details about Paulo Soares Esteves

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Workplace:Banco de Portugal (Central Bank of Portugal), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Paulo Soares Esteves.

Last updated 2020-02-04. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pes185


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Working Papers

2018

  1. Does domestic demand matter for firms’ exports?
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads
    Also in NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho (2018) Downloads

2017

  1. On domestic demand and export performance in the euro area countries: Does export concentration matter?
    Working Papers, Banco de España Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2016) Downloads View citations (1)

2015

  1. Exports and domestic demand pressure: a dynamic panel data model for the euro area countries
    Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department (2014) Downloads View citations (2)
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2015) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article in Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv) (2016)

2013

  1. Is there a role for domestic demand pressure on export performance?
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads View citations (17)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2013) Downloads View citations (23)

    See also Journal Article in Empirical Economics (2015)

2011

  1. Direct vs bottom-up approach when forecasting GDP: reconciling literature results with institutional practice
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Modelling (2013)

2010

  1. Calendar Effects in Daily ATM Withdrawals
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Bulletin (2010)

2009

  1. Are ATM/POS Data Relevant When Nowcasting Private Consumption?
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads View citations (8)

2008

  1. On the uncertainty and risks of macroeconomic forecasts: Combining judgements with sample and model information
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Empirical Economics (2012)
  2. The effects of low-cost countries on Portuguese manufacturing import prices
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads View citations (1)
  3. What is behind the recent evolution of Portuguese terms of trade?
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads View citations (3)

2006

  1. Measuring export competitiveness: revisiting the effective exchange rate weights for the euro area countries
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads View citations (2)

2004

  1. Oil prices assumptions in macroeconomic forecasts: should we follow futures market expectations?
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article in OPEC Energy Review (2004)

2002

  1. Modelling Taylor Rule Uncertainty
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads

1996

  1. Convergence Across EU countries: Inflation and Savings Rates on Physical and Human Capital
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads

1993

  1. Portuguese Prices Before 1947: Inconsistency Between the Observed Cost of Living Index and the GDP Price Estimation of Nunes, Mata and Valério (1989)
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads View citations (1)

Journal Articles

2018

  1. Does export concentration matter in economic adjustment programs? Evidence from the euro-area
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2018, 40, (2), 225-241 Downloads View citations (3)

2016

  1. Exports and domestic demand pressure: a dynamic panel data model for the euro area countries
    Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 2016, 152, (1), 107-125 Downloads View citations (12)
    Also in Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 2016, 152, (1), 107-125 (2016) Downloads View citations (12)

    See also Working Paper (2015)

2015

  1. Is there a role for domestic demand pressure on export performance?
    Empirical Economics, 2015, 49, (4), 1173-1189 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper (2013)

2013

  1. Direct vs bottom–up approach when forecasting GDP: Reconciling literature results with institutional practice
    Economic Modelling, 2013, 33, (C), 416-420 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  2. Short-term forecasting of indirect tax revenues: an application for Portugal
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2013 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. The import content of global demand in Portugal
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2013 Downloads View citations (9)

2012

  1. On the uncertainty and risks of macroeconomic forecasts: combining judgements with sample and model information
    Empirical Economics, 2012, 42, (3), 639-665 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
  2. Short-term forecasting for the portuguese economy: a methodological overview
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2012 Downloads View citations (3)

2010

  1. Calendar effects in daily ATM withdrawals
    Economics Bulletin, 2010, 30, (4), 2587-2597 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2010)

2008

  1. Globalisation, Structural Changes in Exports and the Portuguese Terms of Trade
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2008 Downloads View citations (1)

2007

  1. Foreign Competitors’ Price Aggregation in Computing Price-Competitiveness Indicators: An Application to the EU15 Countries
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2007 Downloads View citations (3)

2006

  1. Portuguese Export Market Shares: An Analysis by Selected Geographical and Product Markets
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2006 Downloads View citations (15)

2005

  1. Measuring Export Competitiveness: A View on the Portuguese Effective Exchange Rate Weights
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2005 Downloads View citations (2)

2004

  1. Modelling Taylor rule uncertainty: an application to the euro area
    Economic Modelling, 2004, 21, (3), 561-572 Downloads
  2. Oil Prices and the Economy
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2004 Downloads View citations (6)
  3. Oil price assumptions in macroeconomic forecasts: should we follow futures market expectations?
    OPEC Energy Review, 2004, 28, (2), 87-106 Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  4. Quarterly Series for the Portuguese Economy: 1977-2003
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2004 Downloads View citations (4)
  5. Revisiting the NAIRU Estimates for the Portuguese Economy
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2004 Downloads View citations (7)

2003

  1. Monetary Conditions Index for Portugal
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2003 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Uncertainty and Risk Analysis: na Application to the Projections for the Portuguese Economy in 2004
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2003 Downloads

2001

  1. Uncertainty in the Taylor Rule and monetary policy assessment
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2001 Downloads
 
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