Details about Alexander Foltas

Access statistics for papers by Alexander Foltas.

Last updated 2023-02-24. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pfo336

Working Papers

2024

1. Inefficient forecast narratives: A BERT-based approach
   Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin

2023

2. Quantifying priorities in business cycle reports: Analysis of recurring textual patterns around peaks and troughs
   Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin
3. The IWH Forecasting Dashboard: From forecasts to evaluation and comparison
   IWH Technical Reports, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article The IWH Forecasting Dashboard: From Forecasts to Evaluation and Comparison, Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter (2024) (2024)

2020

4. Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany
   Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin
   See also Journal Article Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2022) View citations (3) (2022)
5. On the efficiency of German growth forecasts: An empirical analysis using quantile random forests
   Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin
6. Testing investment forecast efficiency with textual data
   Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin View citations (2)

Journal Articles

2024

1. The IWH Forecasting Dashboard: From Forecasts to Evaluation and Comparison
   Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2024, 244, (3), 277-288
   See also Working Paper The IWH Forecasting Dashboard: From forecasts to evaluation and comparison, IWH Technical Reports (2023) View citations (2) (2023)

2022

2. Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany
   Applied Economics Letters, 2022, 29, (10), 867-872 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany, Working Papers (2020) (2020)
3. On the efficiency of German growth forecasts: an empirical analysis using quantile random forests and density forecasts
   Applied Economics Letters, 2022, 29, (17), 1644-1653 View citations (3)
4. Testing Investment Forecast Efficiency with Forecasting Narratives
   Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2022, 242, (2), 191-222