Details about Charles Stephen Gascon

Access statistics for papers by Charles Stephen Gascon.

Last updated 2023-02-24. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pga401

Working Papers

2025

1. Eighth District Firms Expect Slight Acceleration of Price Pressures in 2025
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
2. Quantifying the Beige Book’s “Soft” Data
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2024

3. Are Workers with a Disability Facing New Opportunities or New Challenges?
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
4. Eighth District Businesses Report Moderating Inflationary Pressures
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
5. Professional Forecasters’ Past Performance and the 2025 Economic Outlook
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
6. The Beige Book and the Business Cycle: Using Beige Book Anecdotes to Construct Recession Probabilities
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
7. The Changing Composition of Disability among America’s Workers
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
8. What’s Behind the Recent Slump in Consumer Sentiment?
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2023

9. Are Parents’ Labor Participation Rates Returning to Pre-Pandemic Levels?
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2022

10. Eighth District Businesses Report Stronger Inflationary Pressures
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
11. Estimating the Affordability of Child Care across U.S. States
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
12. How Eighth District Firms Have Responded to Higher Inflation
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
13. Will Inflation Play the Grinch This Holiday Season?
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2021

14. Did the Pandemic Spur Urban Flight? A Look at the Eighth District
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
15. Holiday Shopping: Should You Expect to See Inflation?
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
16. Predicting Benchmarked US State Employment Data in Real Time
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (2)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (2019)

2020

17. COVID-19 and Unemployment Risk: State and MSA Differences
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (1)
18. COVID-19, School Closings and Labor Market Impacts COVID-19, School Closings and Labor Market Impacts
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
19. COVID-19: Which Workers Face the Highest Unemployment Risk?
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (5)
20. How Many Employees Are Prepared to Work from Home?
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
21. Industry Concentration May Help Explain Divergent Business Cycles
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
22. Legal Marijuana Poses Policy Questions for States
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
23. Social Distancing, but Mostly during the Workweek?
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
24. Tracking the Economic Impact of the Pandemic Using High-Frequency Data
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
25. What Is the Impact of School Closures during the Pandemic?
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2014

26. Metro Business Cycles
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article Metro business cycles, Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier (2016) View citations (12) (2016)

2008

27. Convergence in the United States: a tale of migration and urbanization
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (9)
28. Offshoring, economic insecurity, and the demand for social insurance
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (2)

2007

29. The perils of globalization: offshoring and economic insecurity of the American worker
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (6)

Journal Articles

2024

1. Historical Disinflation Episodes: Which Falls First, Goods or Services?
   Economic Synopses, 2024, (9), 2 pages
2. Labor Market Conditions Have Eased, but Why? A State-Level View
   The Regional Economist, 2024

2023

3. Eighth District Businesses Report Persistent Inflationary Pressures
   Economic Synopses, 2023, (6), 2
4. Professional Forecasters’ Outlook for 2023 and Caveats Based on Past Performance
   Economic Synopses, 2023, (1), 2 pages
5. Understanding Patterns in U.S. Regional Economic Growth
   The Regional Economist, 2023

2022

6. Does the Beige Book Reflect U.S. Employment and Inflation Trends?
   Economic Synopses, 2022, (13), 1-3 View citations (1)
7. Labor Constraints Remain Greatest Challenge for Resurgent Manufacturing Sector
   The Regional Economist, 2022
8. Pandemic, Rising Costs Challenge Child Care Industry
   The Regional Economist, 2022
9. Variations in Inflation across U.S. Metro Areas
   The Regional Economist, 2022

2021

10. A Look Back at Regional Economic Performance before COVID-19
    The Regional Economist, 2021, 29, (1)
11. COVID-19 and States' Revenues: An Analysis
    The Regional Economist, 2021, 29, (1)
12. Commercial Loans Rise Sharply during COVID-19 Pandemic
    The Regional Economist, 2021
13. Leisure and Hospitality Sector’s Recovery Complicated by Delta Variant
    The Regional Economist, 2021

2020

14. As More States Legalize Marijuana, Economics Comes into Play
    The Regional Economist, 2020, 28, (1)
15. Hospital Capacity amid the COVID-19 Pandemic
    The Regional Economist, 2020, 28, (2)
16. The Impact of COVID-19 on the Residential Real Estate Market
    The Regional Economist, 2020, 28, (4)
17. Using High-Frequency Data to Track the Regional Economy
    The Regional Economist, 2020, 28, (3) View citations (1)

2019

18. Industry Mix May Help Explain Urban-Rural Divide in Economic Growth
    The Regional Economist, 2019, 27, (2)
19. Slowing U.S. Housing Sector Still Shaped by Great Recession
    The Regional Economist, 2019, 27, (1)
20. Why Is the St. Louis Metro Area Population Growing So Slowly?
    Economic Synopses, 2019, (14)
21. Working from Home: More Americans Are Telecommuting
    The Regional Economist, 2019, 27, (3) View citations (3)

2018

22. Bourbon and Whiskey Distillers Face Rosy Tourism, Vexing Tariffs
    The Regional Economist, 2018, 26, (4)
23. Health Care Remains Important Job Engine in Eighth District
    The Regional Economist, 2018, 26, (1)
24. Soybeans, the Eighth District’s No. 1 Crop, Caught in Trade Tussle
    The Regional Economist, 2018, 26, (3)
25. St. Louis Fed Steps in to Provide More-Timely Jobs Data
    The Regional Economist, 2018, 26, (2)
26. Warning: Don’t Infer Regional Inflation Differences from House Price Changes
    Economic Synopses, 2018, (6), 1-4
27. What Are Teachers Really Paid? Adjusting Wages for Regional Differences in Cost of Living
    Economic Synopses, 2018, (23), 1-2

2017

28. Advanced Manufacturing Is Vital across Nation, Including Eighth District
    The Regional Economist, 2017, 25, (4)
29. Coal's Future Looks Uncertain as Rival Fuels Grow
    The Regional Economist, 2017, 25, (3)
30. Growth in Tech Sector Returns to Glory Days of the 1990s
    The Regional Economist, 2017, 25, (2)
31. Living Standards in St. Louis and the Eighth Federal Reserve District: Let’s Get Real
    Review, 2017, 99, (4), 377-394
32. Multifamily Housing Shows Strong Growth, Leading to Bubble Fears
    The Regional Economist, 2017, 25, (1)
33. Startups Create Many Jobs, but They Often Don't Last
    The Regional Economist, 2017, 25, (3) View citations (1)
34. The Evolution of St. Louis’s Wage Distribution
    Economic Synopses, 2017, (15), 1-2
35. What Could We Have Expected from a $10 Minimum Wage in the City of St. Louis?
    Economic Synopses, 2017, (8), 1-2

2016

36. A Report on Economic Conditions in the Little Rock Zone
    Burgundy Books, 2016, (4Q)
37. A Report on Economic Conditions in the Louisville Zone
    Burgundy Books, 2016, (4Q)
38. A Report on Economic Conditions in the Memphis Zone
    Burgundy Books, 2016, (4Q)
39. A Report on Economic Conditions in the St. Louis Zone
    Burgundy Books, 2016, (4Q)
40. Evansville, Ind., Adapts As Manufacturing, Population Growth Slide
    The Regional Economist, 2016, (October)
41. Health Care, Hospitality and Retirees Keep Hot Springs Afloat
    The Regional Economist, 2016, (July)
42. Jefferson City, Mo., Facing Same Struggles As Other State Capitals
    The Regional Economist, 2016, (Jan)
43. Metro business cycles
    Journal of Urban Economics, 2016, 94, (C), 90-108 View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Metro Business Cycles, Working Papers (2014) View citations (8) (2014)
44. Some Sectors Are Strong in Cape Girardeau, but Recovery from Recession Remains Elusive
    The Regional Economist, 2016, (April)

2015

45. District Overview: \\"Leaving the Nest\\" Is Easier in Arkansas than Elsewhere in the District and Nation
    The Regional Economist, 2015, (Oct)
46. Metro Profile: A Familiar Name with an Economy Facing Familiar Challenges
    The Regional Economist, 2015, (April)
47. Metro Profile: A Tale of Four Cities: Widespread Growth in Northwest Arkansas
    The Regional Economist, 2015, (Jan)
48. Metro Profile: Bowling Green, Ky.: Cars, College and Caves
    The Regional Economist, 2015, (July)
49. Metro Profile: Jonesboro Outperforming Arkansas and Nation in Some Key Categories
    The Regional Economist, 2015, (Oct)

2014

50. After stalling, recovery resumes in St. Louis
    The Regional Economist, 2014
51. As Owensboro, Ky., wraps up wave of development, hiring slows down
    The Regional Economist, 2014
52. Buying Power of Minimum Wage Varies across and within States
    The Regional Economist, 2014
53. Engines of growth vary in four largest cities
    The Regional Economist, 2014
54. Long-resilient Little Rock faces uncertain pace of recovery
    The Regional Economist, 2014
55. Manufacturing Shares the Stage with Service Sectors in Jackson, Tenn
    The Regional Economist, 2014

2013

56. Metro profile: Louisville successfully transitions from industrial to service economy
    The Regional Economist, 2013, (July)
57. Student-loan debt in the district—reasons behind the recent increase
    The Regional Economist, 2013, (October)
58. Transportation and health care are pockets of strength in Memphis' slow recovery
    The Regional Economist, 2013, (October)

2012

59. College degrees: why aren't more people making the investment?
    The Regional Economist, 2012, (Apr) View citations (1)

2011

60. A closer look: assistance programs in the wake of the crisis
    The Regional Economist, 2011, (Jan), 4-10 View citations (1)

2010

61. Doubling your monetary base and surviving: some international experience
    Review, 2010, 92, (Nov), 481-506 View citations (14)
62. Income convergence in the United States: a tale of migration and urbanization
    The Annals of Regional Science, 2010, 45, (2), 365-377 View citations (10)
63. Recent changes in labor force participation: trend or cycle?
    Economic Synopses, 2010

2009

64. Economic misfortunes have caused many to reassess their finances, triggering sharp reversals in borrowing and spending habits
    Economic Synopses, 2009
65. Estimating U.S. output growth with vintage data in a state-space framework
    Review, 2009, 91, (Jul), 349-370
66. Federal Reserve assets: understanding the pieces of the pie
    Economic Synopses, 2009 View citations (1)
67. Season’s greetings and seasonal adjustments
    Liber8 Economic Information Newsletter, 2009, (January) View citations (3)
68. The commercial paper market, the Fed, and the 2007-2009 financial crisis
    Review, 2009, 91, (Nov), 589-612 View citations (26)
69. The current recession: how bad is it?
    Economic Synopses, 2009 View citations (6)
70. This is not your father's recession... or is it?
    The Regional Economist, 2009, (Apr), 6-12 View citations (1)
71. Vacancies and unemployment
    Economic Synopses, 2009

2008

72. Convergence across states and people
    National Economic Trends, 2008, (Jan)
73. Fueling expected inflation
    Monetary Trends, 2008, (Sep)
74. New monetary policy tools?
    Monetary Trends, 2008, (May)
75. Predicting consumption: a lesson in real-time data
    National Economic Trends, 2008, (Nov)

2007

76. Economic globalization
    Liber8 Economic Information Newsletter, 2007, (Nov)
77. The FOMC in 1978
    Monetary Trends, 2007, (Aug)