Details about Paul Ho

Access statistics for papers by Paul Ho.

Last updated 2024-08-09. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pho801

Working Papers

2024

1. Max-Share Misidentification
   Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics

2023

2. Averaging Impulse Responses Using Prediction Pools
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
   See also Journal Article Averaging impulse responses using prediction pools, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2024) View citations (4) (2024)

2022

3. Bubbles and the Value of Innovation
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)
   Also in Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (2020) View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article Bubbles and the value of innovation, Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier (2022) View citations (2) (2022)
4. Multilateral Comovement in a New Keynesian World: A Little Trade Goes a Long Way
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond View citations (2)

2021

5. Forecasting in the Absence of Precedent
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond View citations (1)

2020

6. Estimating the Effects of Demographics on Interest Rates: A Robust Bayesian Perspective
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article Estimating the effects of demographics on interest rates: A robust Bayesian perspective, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2024) (2024)
7. Global Robust Bayesian Analysis in Large Models
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond View citations (1)
   Also in 2019 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2019) View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article Global robust Bayesian analysis in large models, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2023) View citations (3) (2023)
8. How To Go Viral: A COVID-19 Model with Endogenously Time-Varying Parameters
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article How to go viral: A COVID-19 model with endogenously time-varying parameters, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2023) View citations (3) (2023)

2019

9. Survey Data and Subjective Beliefs in Business Cycle Models
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond View citations (28)

2018

10. Efficient Bubbles?
    2018 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics

2016

11. Identifying Ambiguity Shocks in Business Cycle Models Using Survey Data
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (18)

Journal Articles

2024

1. Averaging impulse responses using prediction pools
   Journal of Monetary Economics, 2024, 146, (C) View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper Averaging Impulse Responses Using Prediction Pools, Working Paper (2023) (2023)
2. Estimating the effects of demographics on interest rates: A robust Bayesian perspective
   Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2024, 158, (C)
   See also Working Paper Estimating the Effects of Demographics on Interest Rates: A Robust Bayesian Perspective, Working Paper (2020) View citations (1) (2020)
3. Examining the Differences in r* Estimates
   Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2024, 24, (36)
4. How Do Demographics Influence r*?
   Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2024, 24, (18)

2023

5. Global robust Bayesian analysis in large models
   Journal of Econometrics, 2023, 235, (2), 608-642 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper Global Robust Bayesian Analysis in Large Models, Working Paper (2020) View citations (1) (2020)
6. How Does Trade Impact the Way GDP Growth and Inflation Comove Across Countries?
   Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2023, 23, (1)
7. How to go viral: A COVID-19 model with endogenously time-varying parameters
   Journal of Econometrics, 2023, 232, (1), 70-86 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper How To Go Viral: A COVID-19 Model with Endogenously Time-Varying Parameters, Working Paper (2020) View citations (3) (2020)
8. What Does Sectoral Inflation Tell Us About the Aggregate Trend in Inflation?
   Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2023, 23, (37)
9. Why Are Economists Still Uncertain About the Effects of Monetary Policy?
   Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2023, 23, (15)

2022

10. Bubbles and the value of innovation
    Journal of Financial Economics, 2022, 145, (1), 69-84 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Bubbles and the Value of Innovation, NBER Working Papers (2022) View citations (3) (2022)
11. Forecasting the COVID-19 epidemic: the case of New Zealand
    New Zealand Economic Papers, 2022, 56, (1), 9-16

2021

12. How Macroeconomic Forecasters Adjusted During the COVID-19 Pandemic
    Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2021, 21, (19) View citations (1)
13. Macroeconomic Effects of Household Pessimism and Optimism
    Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2021, 21, (03)

2020

14. COVID-19 over Time and across States: Predictions from a Statistical Model
    Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2020, 20, (10)