Details about Paul Ho

Access statistics for papers by Paul Ho.

Last updated 2023-08-10. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pho801

Working Papers

2023

1. Averaging Impulse Responses Using Prediction Pools
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

2022

2. Bubbles and the Value of Innovation
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
   Also in Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (2020) View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Financial Economics (2022)
3. Multilateral Comovement in a New Keynesian World: A Little Trade Goes a Long Way
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

2021

4. Forecasting in the Absence of Precedent
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

2020

5. Estimating the Effects of Demographics on Interest Rates: A Robust Bayesian Perspective
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond View citations (1)
6. Global Robust Bayesian Analysis in Large Models
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond View citations (1)
   Also in 2019 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2019) View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2023)
7. How To Go Viral: A COVID-19 Model with Endogenously Time-Varying Parameters
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2023)

2019

8. Survey Data and Subjective Beliefs in Business Cycle Models
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond View citations (25)

2018

9. Efficient Bubbles?
   2018 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics

2016

10. Identifying Ambiguity Shocks in Business Cycle Models Using Survey Data
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (18)

Journal Articles

2023

1. Global robust Bayesian analysis in large models
   Journal of Econometrics, 2023, 235, (2), 608-642
   See also Working Paper (2020)
2. How Does Trade Impact the Way GDP Growth and Inflation Comove Across Countries?
   Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2023, 23, (1)
3. How to go viral: A COVID-19 model with endogenously time-varying parameters
   Journal of Econometrics, 2023, 232, (1), 70-86
   See also Working Paper (2020)
4. What Does Sectoral Inflation Tell Us About the Aggregate Trend in Inflation?
   Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2023, 23, (37)
5. Why Are Economists Still Uncertain About the Effects of Monetary Policy?
   Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2023, 23, (15)

2022

6. Bubbles and the value of innovation
   Journal of Financial Economics, 2022, 145, (1), 69-84 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper (2022)
7. Forecasting the COVID-19 epidemic: the case of New Zealand
   New Zealand Economic Papers, 2022, 56, (1), 9-16

2021

8. How Macroeconomic Forecasters Adjusted During the COVID-19 Pandemic
   Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2021, 21, (19) View citations (1)
9. Macroeconomic Effects of Household Pessimism and Optimism
   Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2021, 21, (03)

2020

10. COVID-19 over Time and across States: Predictions from a Statistical Model
    Richmond Fed Economic Brief, 2020, 20, (10)