Details about José R. Maria

Access statistics for papers by José R. Maria.

Last updated 2025-03-15. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pma1434

Working Papers

2023

1. Introducing quarterly databases to assess industry-level developments in Portugal and the euro area
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
2. Trends and cycles during the COVID-19 pandemic period
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
   See also Journal Article Trends and cycles during the COVID-19 pandemic period, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2024) (2024)

2022

3. Comparing estimated structural models of different complexities: What do we learn?
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department

2021

4. Risk shocks, due loans, and policy options: When less is more!
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department

2019

5. Trends and cycles under changing economic conditions
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article Trends and cycles under changing economic conditions, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2020) View citations (5) (2020)

2018

6. An integrated financial amplifier: the role of defaulted loans and occasionally binding constraints in output fluctuations
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
7. Business investment in EU countries
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (2)

2017

8. The Portuguese post-2008 period: A narrative from an estimated DSGE model
   Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (2)

2016

9. Labour market modelling in the light of the financial crisis
   Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (8)
10. Output and unemployment, Portugal, 2008–2012
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (4)

2015

11. Comparing fiscal multipliers across models and countries in Europe
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (38)
    Also in Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium (2015) View citations (40)
12. Comparisons and contrasts of the impact of the crisis on euro area labour markets
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (7)
13. Financial Fragmentation Shocks
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (3)
14. Unpleasant debt dynamics: Can fiscal consolidations raise debt ratios?
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Unpleasant debt dynamics: Can fiscal consolidations raise debt ratios?, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2015) View citations (12) (2015)

2013

15. Ageing and fiscal sustainability in a small euro area economy
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article AGING AND FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY IN A SMALL EURO AREA ECONOMY, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (2017) View citations (11) (2017)
16. Fiscal Multipliers in a Small Euro Area Economy: How Big Can They Get in Crisis Times?
    EcoMod2013, EcoMod View citations (8)
    Also in Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department (2013) View citations (10)
17. Inside PESSOA -A Detailed Description of the Model
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (18)

2012

18. Euro area labour markets and the crisis
    Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (11)

2011

19. Fiscal Consolidation in a Small Euro Area Economy
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article Fiscal Consolidation in a Small Euro-Area Economy, International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2013) View citations (28) (2013)

2010

20. Fiscal Stimulus in a Small Euro Area Economy
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (7)
21. Fiscal stimulus and exit strategies in a small euro area economy
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (4)

2008

22. Forecasting investment: A fishing contest using survey data
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (3)

2007

23. International Trade Patterns over the Last Four Decades: How does Portugal Compare with other Cohesion Countries?
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (23)
24. Relative Export Structures and Vertical Specialization: A Simple Cross-Country Index
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Relative Export Structures and Vertical Specialization: A Simple Cross-Country Index, Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department (2006) (2006)

2004

25. On the Use of the First Principal Component as a Core Inflation Indicator
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department View citations (4)

Journal Articles

2024

1. The magnifying role of the banking sector during depressions
   Journal of Macroeconomics, 2024, 79, (C)
2. Trends and cycles during the COVID-19 pandemic period
   Economic Modelling, 2024, 139, (C)
   See also Working Paper Trends and cycles during the COVID-19 pandemic period, Working Papers (2023) (2023)

2022

3. Pandemic shocks
   Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2022

2021

4. Cyclical outputs and structural budget balances
   Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2021
5. Lessons from a finitely-lived agents structural model
   Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2021

2020

6. Exchange Rate Cooperation Agreement between Portugal and Cabo Verde: characterisation, developments and challenges after 20 years
   Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2020
7. Trends and cycles under changing economic conditions
   Economic Modelling, 2020, 92, (C), 126-146 View citations (5)
   See also Working Paper Trends and cycles under changing economic conditions, Working Papers (2019) View citations (1) (2019)

2019

8. Comparing Fiscal Consolidation Multipliers across Models in Europe
   International Journal of Central Banking, 2019, 15, (3), 285-320 View citations (19)
9. Potential output: How does Portugal compare with the euro area over the last 40 years?
   Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2019

2018

10. Interest rate spreads hikes: What lies behind them?
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2018

2017

11. AGING AND FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY IN A SMALL EURO AREA ECONOMY
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2017, 21, (7), 1673-1705 View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper Ageing and fiscal sustainability in a small euro area economy, Working Papers (2013) View citations (6) (2013)
12. Output in the Portuguese post-2008 period: A general equilibrium narrative
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2017

2016

13. Portugal: Trends, cycles, and instability in output and unemployment over 2008-2012
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2016

2015

14. Unpleasant debt dynamics: Can fiscal consolidations raise debt ratios?
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2015, 44, (C), 276-294 View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Unpleasant debt dynamics: Can fiscal consolidations raise debt ratios?, Working Papers (2015) View citations (12) (2015)

2014

15. Financial frictions and shock transmission: the Portuguese case
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2014

2013

16. Fiscal Consolidation in a Small Euro-Area Economy
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2013, 9, (4), 1-38 View citations (28)
    Also in Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2011 (2011)
    See also Working Paper Fiscal Consolidation in a Small Euro Area Economy, Working Papers (2011) View citations (16) (2011)

2011

17. A Simple Cross-Country Index of Trade Specialization
    Open Economies Review, 2011, 22, (3), 447-461 View citations (12)
18. Fiscal policy in a small euro area economy
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2011

2010

19. How to Measure Unemployment? Implications for the NAIRU
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2010
20. What can we learn from the distribution of trade patterns?
    Portuguese Economic Journal, 2010, 9, (2), 77-95 View citations (3)

2008

21. Forecasting Investment in Portugal Using Qualitative and Quantitative Data
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2008

2007

22. Export Specialization Over the Last Four Decades: How Does Portugal Compare With Other Cohesion Countries?
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2007
23. MIMO - a Monthly Inflation Model
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2007

2006

24. Relative Export Structures and Vertical Specialization: A Simple Cross-Country Index
    Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, 2006
    See also Working Paper Relative Export Structures and Vertical Specialization: A Simple Cross-Country Index, Working Papers (2007) View citations (12) (2007)