Details about Vito Polito

Access statistics for papers by Vito Polito.

Last updated 2025-01-07. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: ppo348

Working Papers

2023

1. Pension Systems (Un)sustainability and Fiscal Constraints: A Comparative Analysis
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
   Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2023)
   Working Papers, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics (2023)

2022

2. Tackling Large Outliers in Macroeconomic Data with Vector Artificial Neural Network Autoregression
   Working Papers, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics
   Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2021)

2020

3. Nonlinear Business Cycle and Optimal Policy: A VSTAR Perspective
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo

2018

4. Population Aging, Social Security and Fiscal Limits
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2017)
   See also Journal Article Population aging, social security and fiscal limits, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2020) View citations (14) (2020)

2017

5. Job Search, Unemployment Protection and Informal Work in Advanced Economies
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (5)

2015

6. Cash-in-Hand, Benefit Fraud and Unemployment Insurance
   Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section

2014

7. Unemployment, Crime and Social Insurance
   Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section View citations (2)

2013

8. How the Euro Crisis Evolved and How to Avoid Another: EMU, Fiscal Policy and Credit Ratings
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (8)
   Also in Special Conference Papers, Bank of Greece (2013) View citations (7)
   See also Journal Article How the Euro Crisis Evolved and how to Avoid Another: EMU, Fiscal Policy and Credit Ratings, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2014) View citations (9) (2014)
9. Is the UK triple-A?
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (2)
10. Sovereign credit ratings in the European Union: a model-based fiscal analysis
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article Sovereign credit ratings in the European Union: A model-based fiscal analysis, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2015) View citations (19) (2015)

2012

11. Modelling the U.S. sovereign credit rating
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Modelling the U.S. sovereign credit rating, Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier (2014) View citations (10) (2014)

2011

12. Capital income taxation incentives during economic downturns: re-thinking theory and evidence
    Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section
13. Deferred Taxation and Effective Tax Rates on Income from Capital in the United States, 2000-2010
    Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section
14. UK Macroeconomic Volatility and the Welfare Costs of Inflation
    Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section
    Also in Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York View citations (1)
15. Up or down? Capital income taxation in the United States and the United Kingdom
    Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2010)
    See also Journal Article Up or Down? Capital Income Taxation in the United States and the United Kingdom, FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen (2012) View citations (3) (2012)

2008

16. Optimal Monetary Policy using a VAR
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (6)

2007

17. Measuring the Fiscal Stance
    Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York View citations (9)

2005

18. Measuring Fiscal Sustainability
    CDMA Conference Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis View citations (14)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2005) View citations (13)

Journal Articles

2022

1. Job search, unemployment protection, and informal work
   (Re-employment probabilities of unemployment benefit recipients)
   Oxford Economic Papers, 2022, 74, (4), 1110-1138

2020

2. Population aging, social security and fiscal limits
   Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2020, 116, (C) View citations (14)
   See also Working Paper Population Aging, Social Security and Fiscal Limits, CESifo Working Paper Series (2018) (2018)

2016

3. Optimal Control of Heteroscedastic Macroeconomic Models
   Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2016, 31, (7), 1430-1444 View citations (1)

2015

4. Sovereign credit ratings in the European Union: A model-based fiscal analysis
   European Economic Review, 2015, 78, (C), 220-247 View citations (19)
   See also Working Paper Sovereign credit ratings in the European Union: a model-based fiscal analysis, CEPR Discussion Papers (2013) View citations (8) (2013)

2014

5. How the Euro Crisis Evolved and how to Avoid Another: EMU, Fiscal Policy and Credit Ratings
   Journal of Macroeconomics, 2014, 39, (PB), 364-374 View citations (9)
   See also Working Paper How the Euro Crisis Evolved and How to Avoid Another: EMU, Fiscal Policy and Credit Ratings, CEPR Discussion Papers (2013) View citations (8) (2013)
6. Modelling the U.S. sovereign credit rating
   Journal of Banking & Finance, 2014, 46, (C), 202-218 View citations (10)
   See also Working Paper Modelling the U.S. sovereign credit rating, CEPR Discussion Papers (2012) View citations (1) (2012)

2012

7. A model-based indicator of the fiscal stance
   European Economic Review, 2012, 56, (3), 526-551 View citations (37)
8. Erratum to: ‘Assessing the fiscal stance in the European Union and the United States, 1970–2011’
   Economic Policy, 2012, 27, (69), 187-193
9. Optimal monetary policy using an unrestricted VAR
   Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2012, 27, (4), 525-553 View citations (10)
10. Up or Down? Capital Income Taxation in the United States and the United Kingdom
    FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, 2012, 68, (1), 48-82 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Up or down? Capital income taxation in the United States and the United Kingdom, Cardiff Economics Working Papers (2011) (2011)

2011

11. Assessing the fiscal stance in the European Union and the United States, 1970–2011
    (A historical public debt database)
    Economic Policy, 2011, 26, (68), 599-647 View citations (30)

2009

12. Measuring the Effective Tax Burden in the Real World*
    Fiscal Studies, 2009, 30, (2), 247-278 View citations (8)