Details about Michael Thaler

Access statistics for papers by Michael Thaler.

Last updated 2026-05-15. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pth366

Working Papers

2026

1. AI Alignment Amplifies the Role of Race, Gender, and Disability in Hiring Decisions
   Papers, arXiv.org
2. Bad News and Policy Views: Expectations, Disappointment, and Opposition to Affirmative Action
   RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin)
   Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2026)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2026)

2025

3. The Supply of Motivated Beliefs
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
   Also in Papers, arXiv.org (2023) View citations (3)

2024

4. Good News Is Not a Sufficient Condition for Motivated Reasoning
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
   Also in Papers, arXiv.org (2024) View citations (3)
5. Numbers Tell, Words Sell
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (3)
6. Overinference from Weak Signals and Underinference from Strong Signals
   Papers, arXiv.org View citations (8)
   See also Journal Article Overinference from Weak Signals and Underinference from Strong Signals*, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (2025) View citations (3) (2025)

2022

7. The Fake News Effect: Experimentally Identifying Motivated Reasoning Using Trust in News
   Papers, arXiv.org View citations (17)
   See also Journal Article The Fake News Effect: Experimentally Identifying Motivated Reasoning Using Trust in News, American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association (2024) View citations (21) (2024)

2021

8. Gender Differences in Motivated Reasoning
   Papers, arXiv.org View citations (17)
   See also Journal Article Gender differences in motivated reasoning, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier (2021) View citations (14) (2021)

2020

9. Polarization and Public Health: Partisan Differences in Social Distancing during the Coronavirus Pandemic
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (469)
   See also Journal Article Polarization and public health: Partisan differences in social distancing during the coronavirus pandemic, Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier (2020) View citations (479) (2020)

Journal Articles

2025

1. Overinference from Weak Signals and Underinference from Strong Signals*
   The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2025, 140, (1), 335-401 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper Overinference from Weak Signals and Underinference from Strong Signals, Papers (2024) View citations (8) (2024)

2024

2. The Fake News Effect: Experimentally Identifying Motivated Reasoning Using Trust in News
   American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 2024, 16, (2), 1-38 View citations (21)
   See also Working Paper The Fake News Effect: Experimentally Identifying Motivated Reasoning Using Trust in News, Papers (2022) View citations (17) (2022)

2021

3. Gender differences in motivated reasoning
   Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2021, 191, (C), 501-518 View citations (14)
   See also Working Paper Gender Differences in Motivated Reasoning, Papers (2021) View citations (17) (2021)

2020

4. Polarization and public health: Partisan differences in social distancing during the coronavirus pandemic
   Journal of Public Economics, 2020, 191, (C) View citations (479)
   See also Working Paper Polarization and Public Health: Partisan Differences in Social Distancing during the Coronavirus Pandemic, NBER Working Papers (2020) View citations (469) (2020)