Details about Leighton Vaughan Williams

Access statistics for papers by Leighton Vaughan Williams.

Last updated 2016-11-19. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pva57

Working Papers

2014

1. Prediction Markets, Twitter and Bigotgate
   Economics Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Reading View citations (3)

2009

2. Do Bookmakers Possess Superior Skills to Bettors in Predicting Outcomes?
   Post-Print, HAL View citations (27)

2007

3. Broadcasting Productivity Growth in the UK
   Occasional Papers, Industrial Economics Division View citations (1)

2002

4. 'Quarbs' and Efficiency in Spread Betting Markets: can you beat the book?
   Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002, Royal Economic Society

Undated

5. A Direction Dynamic Approach to Inside Information
   Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, The Nottingham Trent University
6. Advertising: signal of productive efficiency or cause of allocative inefficiency
   Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, The Nottingham Trent University
7. Can Regulation Make Betting Markets More Efficient?
   Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, The Nottingham Trent University
8. Do Transactions Costs Explain Market Efficiency in Football Fixed Odds and Spread Betting Markets
   Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, The Nottingham Trent University
9. Explaining the Sign of Betting Biases?
   Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, The Nottingham Trent University
10. Odds, Information and Arbitrage: Explorations in a Betting Market
    Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, The Nottingham Trent University

Journal Articles

2016

1. Forecasting Elections
   Journal of Forecasting, 2016, 35, (4), 308-328 View citations (19)
2. Prediction Markets, Social Media and Information Efficiency
   Kyklos, 2016, 69, (3), 518-556 View citations (14)

2015

3. Forecasting the Outcome of Closed‐Door Decisions: Evidence from 500 Years of Betting on Papal Conclaves
   Journal of Forecasting, 2015, 34, (5), 391-404 View citations (1)
4. Forecasting the decisions of the US Supreme Court: lessons from the ‘affordable care act’ judgment
   Journal of Prediction Markets, 2015, 9, (1), 64-78

2014

5. The Churchill Betting Tax, 1926-30: A historical and economic perspective
   Economic Issues Journal Articles, 2014, 19, (2), 21-38

2013

6. Do New Gambling Products Displace Old? Evidence from a Postcode Analysis
   Regional Studies, 2013, 47, (6), 963-973 View citations (4)

2011

7. DO POLLS OR MARKETS FORECAST BETTER? EVIDENCE FROM THE 2010 US SENATE ELECTIONS
   Journal of Prediction Markets, 2011, 5, (3), 64-74

2010

8. Forecasting horse race outcomes: New evidence on odds bias in UK betting markets
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2010, 26, (3), 543-550 View citations (4)
9. Sports forecasting
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2010, 26, (3), 445-447

2009

10. Productivity growth and funding of public service broadcasting
    Public Choice, 2009, 141, (3), 335-349 View citations (1)
11. The Cleverness of Crowds
    Journal of Prediction Markets, 2009, 3, (3), 45-47
12. The Growth of Gambling and Prediction Markets: Economic and Financial Implications
    Economica, 2009, 76, (302), 219-224 View citations (5)

2007

13. Introduction to the First Issue from the Editor
    Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, 2007, 1, (1), 1 View citations (2)
    Also in Journal of Prediction Markets, 2007, 1, (1), 1 (2007) View citations (2)

2006

14. Dynamic Links Between Unexpected Exchange Rate Variation, Prices, and International Trade
    Open Economies Review, 2006, 17, (2), 221-233 View citations (3)
15. Market Efficiency in Person‐to‐Person Betting
    Economica, 2006, 73, (292), 673-689 View citations (43)

2005

16. Forecasting outcomes in spread betting markets: can bettors use 'quarbs' to beat the book?
    Journal of Forecasting, 2005, 24, (2), 139-154 View citations (12)

2004

17. Exchange rate uncertainty, UK trade and the euro
    Applied Financial Economics, 2004, 14, (12), 885-893 View citations (3)

2002

18. A Policy Response To The E--Commerce Revolution: The Case Of Betting Taxation In The UK
    Economic Journal, 2002, 112, (480), F296-F314 View citations (22)
19. Identifying irregularities in a financial market
    Applied Financial Economics, 2002, 12, (9), 633-637

2001

20. Can Bettors Win?
    World Economics, 2001, 2, (1), 31-48 View citations (1)
21. Gambling Taxation: A Comment
    Australian Economic Review, 2001, 34, (4), 437-440 View citations (7)
22. Insiders and International finance: Evidence From Complementary Markets Patterns in Neighboring Areas
    Ekonomia, 2001, 5, (2), 208-214
23. Monopoly Rents and Price Fixing in Betting Markets
    Review of Industrial Organization, 2001, 19, (3), 265-278 View citations (1)

1999

24. Information Efficiency in Betting Markets: A Survey
    Bulletin of Economic Research, 1999, 51, (1), 1-30 View citations (70)
25. Regulating Insider Trading in Betting Markets
    Bulletin of Economic Research, 1999, 51, (3), 237-41 View citations (5)

1998

26. Do betting costs explain betting biases?
    Applied Economics Letters, 1998, 5, (5), 333-335 View citations (8)
27. Why are some favourite-longshot biases positive and others negative?
    Applied Economics, 1998, 30, (11), 1505-1510 View citations (29)

1997

28. Does information efficiency require a perception of information inefficiency?
    Applied Economics Letters, 1997, 4, (10), 615-617 View citations (2)
29. Why Is There a Favourite-Longshot Bias in British Racetrack Betting Markets?
    Economic Journal, 1997, 107, (440), 150-58 View citations (63)

Edited books

2014

1. The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Gambling
   OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press

2012

2. The Economics of Gambling and National Lotteries
   Books, Edward Elgar Publishing View citations (1)

2009

3. Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets
   Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (4)

2005

4. Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets
   Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (48)

Editor

1. Journal of Gambling Business and Economics
   University of Buckingham Press
2. Journal of Prediction Markets
   University of Buckingham Press