Details about Andrey Zubarev

Access statistics for papers by Andrey Zubarev.

Last updated 2026-01-18. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pzu44

Working Papers

2023

1. Beyond Bitcoin: A Taxonomy of Cryptocurrencies in a Historical Perspective
   (Не только Bitcoin: таксономия криптовалют в исторической перспективе)
   Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
2. Construction of a global vector autoregression with trade and financial relationships between countries and forecasting of Russian macroeconomic indicators
   (Построение глобальной векторной авторегрессии с учётом торговых и финансовых взаимосвязей между странами для прогнозирования российских макроэкономических показателей)
   Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
3. Return factors of Ether cryptocurrency: on chain metrics and DeFi
   Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

2022

4. The Future of Global Economic Power
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
   Also in Working Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy (2022) View citations (1)
5. Макроэкономические факторы банкротства компаний обрабатывающей отрасли в Российской Федерации
   (Macroeconomic Factors of Corporate Bankruptcy in the Manufacturing Sector in the Russian Federation)
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
6. Оценивание влияния внешних шоков на российскую экономику с помощью модели GVAR
   (Estimating the impact of external shocks on Russian economy: GVAR approach)
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
7. Факторы риска, прибыльности и вероятности дефолта в российском банковском секторе
   (Determinants of risk, profitability and probability of default for Russian banking sector)
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
8. Эконометрический анализ факторов банкротств российских компаний в обрабатывающем секторе
   (Econometric Analysis of Bankruptcy Factors for Russian Companies in the Manufacturing Industry)
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany

2021

9. Forecasting Aggregate Retail Sales with Google Trends
   Post-Print, HAL
   See also Journal Article Forecasting Aggregate Retail Sales with Google Trends, Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia (2021) View citations (1) (2021)
10. Эконометрическая оценка влияния шоков на рынке нефти на макроэкономические показатели Российской Федерации с помощью GVAR моделирования
    (The Impact of Oil Market Shocks on the Macroeconomic Indicators of the Russian Federation: GVAR Approach)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany

2020

11. Panel cross-country analysis of the degree of interconnection domestic savings and investment
    (Панельный межстрановой анализ степени взаимосвязи внутренних сбережений и инвестиций)
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
12. The evolution of the banking system and default factors of Russian banks in the period 2013-2018
    (Эволюция банковской системы и факторы дефолтов российских банков в период 2013-2018гг)
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

2019

13. Analysis of the possibilities of using the distributed registry technology to improve the functioning of the sectors of the Russian economy
    (Анализ возможностей использования технологии распределённого реестра для повышения эффективности функционирования секторов российской экономики)
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
14. Modeling the increase in the retirement age in the Russian economy using the global CGE-OLG model
    (Моделирование повышения пенсионного возраста в российские экономики с помощью глобальной CGE-OLG модели)
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
15. Panel cross-country analysis of the degree of interconnection of domestic savings and investments
    (Панельный межстрановой анализ степени взаимосвязи внутренних сбережений и инвестиций)
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

2017

16. Determination of the Factors of Economic Development within the Framework of Sem (Structural Equation Modeling)
    (Определение детерминант экономического развития в рамках подхода моделирования структурных уравнений (SEM – structural equation modeling))
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
17. Scenario Analysis of the Impact of Reducing the Export Duty on Oil on the Russian Economy within the Framework of the General Equilibrium Model
    (Сценарный анализ влияния на российскую экономику снижения экспортной пошлины на нефть в рамках модели общего равновесия)
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

2016

18. Determination of the Output Gap for the Russian Economy
    (Определение разрыва выпуска для российской экономики)
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration View citations (3)
19. Fiscal Policy in Multinational Model of Common Economic Equilibrium
    (Фискальная политика в многострановой модели общего экономического равновесия)
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
20. Will the Paris Accord Accelerate Climate Change?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (9)

2015

21. SIMULATING RUSSIA’S AND OTHER LARGE ECONOMIES’ CHALLENGING AND INTERCONNECTED TRANSITIONS
    EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics View citations (8)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2015) View citations (10)

2013

22. Russian Banking System: Stability Factors In the Wake of 2008-2009 Crisis
    Working Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
23. The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle: Modern Aspects
    Working Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy View citations (3)

Journal Articles

2025

1. The IS Curve and the Transmission Mechanism in the Context of Inflation Targeting
   HSE Economic Journal, 2025, 29, (2), 191–213
2. The cryptocurrency market in autumn 2025
   Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, 2025, (30), 4
3. The cryptocurrency market in autumn 2025
   Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), 2025, (30), 5
4. The cryptocurrency market shows positive dynamics in H1 2025
   Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, 2025, (18), 5
5. The cryptocurrency market shows positive dynamics in H1 2025
   Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), 2025, (18), 5

2023

6. Building a GVAR Model for the Russian Economy
   HSE Economic Journal, 2023, 27, (1), 9–32
7. Determinants of risk, profitability and default probability of Russian banks
   Applied Econometrics, 2023, 71, 20-38
8. Factors of Ethereum Profitability as a Platform for Creating Decentrilized Applications
   Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, 2023, (1), 95-115
9. The Phillips curve for an open economy: The evolution of inflation processes in Russia
   Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2023, (12)

2022

10. Bank Default's Factors Differentiation Based on License Withdrawal Reasons
    HSE Economic Journal, 2022, 26, (1), 69–103 View citations (1)
11. Estimation of the Impact of Global Shocks on the Russian Economy and GDP Nowcasting Using a Factor Model
    Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 2022, 81, (2), 49-78 View citations (2)
12. The impact of global shocks on the Russian economy: FAVAR approach
    Journal of the New Economic Association, 2022, 56, (4), 48-68 View citations (2)

2021

13. Forecasting Aggregate Retail Sales with Google Trends
    Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 2021, 80, (4), 50-73 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Forecasting Aggregate Retail Sales with Google Trends, Post-Print (2021) (2021)
14. GDP Nowcasting: Dynamic Factor Model vs. Official Forecasts
    (Наукастинг ВВП: динамическая факторная модель и официальные прогнозы)
    Russian Economic Development, 2021, (12), 34-40 View citations (7)
15. Profitability and Efficiency of Russian Banks after Global Crisis
    (Прибыльность и эффективность российских банков после глобального кризиса)
    Russian Economic Development, 2021, (11), 66-75
16. Наукастинг ВВП: динамическая факторная модель и официальные прогнозы
    Russian Economic Development (in Russian), 2021, (12), 34-40
17. Прибыльность и эффективность российских банков после глобального кризиса
    Russian Economic Development (in Russian), 2021, (11), 66-75

2020

18. Analysis of Bank Default Factors in 2013–2019
    (Анализ факторов банковских дефолтов 2013–2019 годов)
    Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, 2020, 3, 106-133 View citations (1)
19. Capital mobility in commodity-exporting economies
    Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2020, 24, (5), 10 View citations (1)
20. Elastic properties of ferrogels with chain-like structures
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2020, 545, (C)
21. How the oil price and other factors of real exchange rate dynamics affect real GDP in Russia
    Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2020, 56, (15), 3732-3745 View citations (10)
22. The Impact of Risk Premium on Russian Macroeconomic Indicators
    HSE Economic Journal, 2020, 24, (3), 391–414 View citations (1)

2019

23. Assessing the Consequences of the Pension Reform in Russia in a Global CGE-OLG Model
    HSE Economic Journal, 2019, 23, (3), 384-417 View citations (2)

2018

24. How Commodity Prices Influence the Members of the Eurasian Economic Union
    Economy of region, 2018, 1, (2), 623 - 637 View citations (1)
25. On the theory of hysteretic magnetostriction of soft ferrogels
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2018, 498, (C), 86-95 View citations (1)

2016

26. Estimation of Macroeconomic Effects from the Decline in Oil Export Duty
    (Оценка макроэкономических эффектов от снижения экспортной пошлины на нефть)
    Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, 2016, 6, 8-35 View citations (1)

2015

27. Group Performance and Success of Project Bids within the Framework of the «Federal Target Program for Research and Development in Priority Areas of Development of the Russian Scientific and Technological Complex for 2014–2020
    Science Governance and Scientometrics Journal, 2015, 10, (2), 24-41

2014

28. Влияние реального обменного курса рубля на экономическую активность в России
    Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, 2014, (2 (143)), 92-102

2013

29. The Impact of the Real Ruble Exchange Rate on the Economic Activity in Russia
    Research Paper Series, 2013, (165P), 164 pages View citations (4)

2011

30. Sustainability of Russian Banks in 2007-2009
    Research Paper Series, 2011, (155P) View citations (1)