Our Current Misunderstanding of COVID-19 and the Valid Approach to Research: Should We Reopen the World Economy?

Robert C Sinclair and Rajeev Kumar
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Robert C Sinclair: Professor/Consultant, Sinclair & Associates Consulting, 1614 Jane Street, North Bay, Canada. (bob.sinclair76@gmail.com)
Rajeev Kumar: Master of Technology and Computer Science, Dr. Ram Manohar Lohia Avadh University, Faizabad, India.

Global Economics Review, 2020, vol. 5, issue 1, 177-185

Abstract: The study addresses issues related to the current epidemiological models being used to address the COVID-19 pandemic, and suggests the “curve†is a nebulous fairy tale. Furthermore, I argue that these models are based on invalid data and flawed assumptions. For example, epidemiologists are using a number of positive cases, identified in systematic data collection manners (e.g., primarily testing frontline workers and symptomatic people), as proxy measures for infection rate: I suggest that random sample testing, proportional to population density, would provide an exact measure of infection rate. Finally, I argue that we are not in a position to reopen the world economy until we have these data, we now need a twopronged approach through which we conduct random sample testing for both COVID-19 and COVID-19 antibodies, and that we are about to live in a new world in which physical distancing will be the norm.

Keywords: COVID-19; World Economy; Re-opening; Infection Rates; Random Sample Testing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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