Foreign Exchange Rate Effect on Household Consumption Tendency: The Turkish Case
Elçin Aykaç Alp and
Ali Osman Gürbüz
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Elçin Aykaç Alp: Istanbul Commerce University
Ali Osman Gürbüz: Istanbul Commerce University
Journal of Finance Letters (Maliye ve Finans Yazıları), 2020, vol. 35, issue 114, 263-294
Abstract:
In this study, the relationship between the exchange rate and the consumer price index and the effect of the relationship on the price movements of the product groups were examined in Turkey for the period between 2003:01-2019:04. The direction and degree of impact differ in terms of periods. For this reason, both the entire period and the five-year periods are subjected to analysis. The method of analysis as 394 items, 12 commodity groups for the five-years period by calculating correlations with the dollar, euro and currency basket was examined in terms of direction and impact of the relationship is analyzed. For the same periods, the relationship between the exchange rates and the CPI was also analyzed with VAR models. This method helps to determine the direction and the impact of this relationship and also it shows how long the effect lasted.
Keywords: Net Exchange Rate; CPI; exchange rate pass-through (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E31 F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:acc:malfin:v:35:y:2020:i:114:p:263-294
DOI: 10.33203/mfy.694941
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