THE ADDED VALUE APPROACH APPRAISAL OF THE ECONOMIC POTENTIAL AND A CRISIS SITUATION FORECAST

I. M. Roghkov (), A. A. Boikov (), A. E. Kuznetsova (), A. V. Ghaglovkaya () and O. A. Petrova ()

Russian Journal of Industrial Economics, 2015, issue 4

Abstract: A method of estimating the economic and financial situation of the company developed including the crisis situation forecast of for the company based of calculating oscillation (stability) of the relative value index.A method consist of the following steps:– the estimation of the value added index;– the price-level adjustment of these index;– the estimation of the adjusted index model and the optimization procedure with control actions for encourage value added growth;– the estimation of the optimized adjusted index and control actions value, moving SD, moving CV;– the approximation of the trend line to predict a situation a few times ahead.The developed method can be used for a planning of the balance sheet statement of the enterprise.

Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ach:journl:y:2015:id:68

DOI: 10.17073/2072-1633-2012-4-53-57

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