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How Risky Are Recessions for Top Earners?

Fatih Guvenen, Greg Kaplan and Jae Song ()

American Economic Review, 2014, vol. 104, issue 5, 148-53

Abstract: How sensitive to business cycles are the earnings of top earners? And, how does the business cycle sensitivity of top earners vary by industry? We use a confidential dataset on earnings histories of US males from the Social Security Administration. On average, individuals in the top 1 percent of the earnings distribution are slightly more cyclical than the population average. But there are large differences across sectors; top earners in Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate (FIRE) and Construction face substantial business cycle volatility, whereas those in Services (who make up 40 percent of individuals in the top 1 percent) have earnings that are less cyclical than the average worker.

JEL-codes: E32 J31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
Note: DOI: 10.1257/aer.104.5.148
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (33)

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