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A Simple Model of Subprime Borrowers and Credit Growth

Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio Primiceri and Andrea Tambalotti

American Economic Review, 2016, vol. 106, issue 5, 543-47

Abstract: The surge in credit and house prices that preceded the Great Recession was particularly pronounced in ZIP codes with a higher fraction of subprime borrowers (Mian and Sufi, 2009). We present a simple model with prime and subprime borrowers distributed across geographic locations, which can reproduce this stylized fact as a result of an expansion in the supply of credit. Due to their low income, subprime households are constrained in their ability to meet interest payments and hence sustain debt. As a result, when the supply of credit increases and interest rates fall, they take on disproportionately more debt than their prime counterparts, who are not subject to that constraint.

JEL-codes: D14 E32 E44 G01 G21 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
Note: DOI: 10.1257/aer.p20161087
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

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Working Paper: A simple model of subprime borrowers and credit growth (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: A Simple Model of Subprime Borrowers and Credit Growth (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: A simple model of subprime borrowers and credit growth (2016) Downloads
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