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Shutting Down the Thermohaline Circulation

David Anthoff (), Francisco Estrada and Richard Tol

American Economic Review, 2016, vol. 106, issue 5, 602-06

Abstract: Past climatic changes were caused by a slowdown of the thermohaline circulation. We use results from experiments with three climate models to show that the expected cooling due to a slowdown of the thermohaline circulation is less in magnitude than the expected warming due to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. The integrated assessment model FUND and a meta-analysis of climate impacts are used to evaluate the change in human welfare. We find modest but by and large positive effects on human welfare since a slowdown of the thermohaline circulation implies decelerated warming.

JEL-codes: Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
Note: DOI: 10.1257/aer.p20161102
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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Working Paper: Shutting Down the Thermohaline Circulation (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: Shutting down the thermohaline circulation (2015) Downloads
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