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Heat Exposure and Youth Migration in Central America and the Caribbean

Javier Baez (), German Caruso (), Valerie Mueller and Chiyu Niu

American Economic Review, 2017, vol. 107, issue 5, 446-50

Abstract: We employ a triple difference-in-difference approach, using censuses and georeferenced temperature data, to quantify heat effects on internal migration in Central America and the Caribbean. A 1-standard deviation increase in heat would affect the lives of 7,314 and 1,578 unskilled young women and men. The effect is smaller than observed in response to droughts and hurricanes but could increase with climate change. Interestingly, youth facing heat waves are more likely to move to urban centers than when exposed to disasters endemic to the region. Research identifying the implications of these choices and interventions available to minimize distress migration is warranted.

JEL-codes: J11 J13 J15 J24 O13 O15 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
Note: DOI: 10.1257/aer.p20171053
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Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:107:y:2017:i:5:p:446-50