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Speculative Fever: Investor Contagion in the Housing Bubble

Patrick Bayer, Kyle Mangum and James W. Roberts

American Economic Review, 2021, vol. 111, issue 2, 609-51

Abstract: Historical anecdotes abound of new investors being drawn into a booming asset market, only to suffer when the market turns. While the role of investor contagion in asset bubbles has been explored extensively in the theoretical literature, causal empirical evidence on the topic is much rarer. This paper studies the recent boom and bust in the US housing market and establishes that many novice investors entered the market as a direct result of observing investing activity of multiple forms in their own neighborhoods and that "infected" investors performed poorly relative to other investors along several dimensions.

JEL-codes: D84 G12 G51 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

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Working Paper: Speculative Fever: Investor Contagion in the Housing Bubble (2016) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1257/aer.20171611

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