Reference Points for Retirement Behavior: Evidence from German Pension Discontinuities
Arthur Seibold
American Economic Review, 2021, vol. 111, issue 4, 1126-65
Abstract:
This paper studies the large concentration of retirement behavior around statutory retirement ages, a puzzling stylized fact. To investigate this fact, I estimate bunching responses to 644 pension benefit discontinuities, using administrative data on the universe of German retirees. Financial incentives alone cannot explain retirement patterns, but there is a large direct effect of statutory retirement ages. I argue that the framing of statutory ages as reference points for retirement provides a plausible explanation. Simulations based on a model with reference dependence highlight that shifting statutory ages via pension reforms is an effective policy to influence retirement behavior.
JEL-codes: D91 H55 J26 J32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1257/aer.20191136
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