Keep Your Enemies Closer: Strategic Platform Adjustments during US and French Elections
Rafael Di Tella,
Randy Kotti,
Caroline Le Pennec and
Vincent Pons
American Economic Review, 2025, vol. 115, issue 8, 2488-2528
Abstract:
We study changes in political discourse during campaigns, using a novel dataset of candidate websites for US House elections, 2002–2016, and manifestos for French parliamentary and local elections, 1958–2022. We find that candidates move to the center in ideology and rhetorical complexity between the first round (or primary) and the second round (or general election). This convergence reflects candidates' strategic adjustment to their opponents, as predicted by Downsian competition: Using an RDD we show that candidates converge to the platform of opponents who narrowly qualified for the last round as opposed to those who narrowly failed to qualify.
JEL-codes: D72 D83 D91 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1257/aer.20231045
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