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Cross-Country Evidence on the Link between Volatility and Growth

Garey Ramey and Valerie Ramey

American Economic Review, 1995, vol. 85, issue 5, 1138-51

Abstract: This paper presents empirical evidence against the standard dichotomy in macroeconomics that separates growth from the volatility of economic fluctuations. In a sample of ninety-two countries as well as a sample of OECD countries, the authors find that countries with higher volatility have lower growth. The addition of standard control variables strengthens the negative relationship. The authors also find that government spending-induced volatility is negatively associated with growth even after controlling for both time- and country-fixed effects. Copyright 1995 by American Economic Association.

Date: 1995
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