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Tax Reform and Automatic Stabilization

Thomas Kniesner and James Ziliak

American Economic Review, 2002, vol. 92, issue 3, 590-612

Abstract: An income tax provides implicit insurance by dampening the variability of disposable income and consumption. Using an empirical framework derived from the consumption insurance literature and data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics we examine the effect of federal income tax reforms of the 1980's on automatic stabilization of consumption. Overall, ERTA and TRA86 reduced consumption stability by about 50 percent. Recently increased EITC generosity restored or enhanced consumption insurance. The welfare cost of moving to the post-TRA86 system is sizable for relatively risk-averse households facing large income risk but is much more modest for the typical household. (JEL H21)

Date: 2002
Note: DOI: 10.1257/00028280260136264
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Working Paper: Tax Reform and Automatic Stabilization (2000)
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