The Cross Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk

Hanno Lustig and Adrien Verdelhan ()

American Economic Review, 2007, vol. 97, issue 1, 89-117

Abstract: Aggregate consumption growth risk explains why low interest rate currencies do not appreciate as much as the interest rate differential and why high interest rate currencies do not depreciate as much as the interest rate differential. Domestic investors earn negative excess returns on low interest rate currency portfolios and positive excess returns on high interest rate currency portfolios. Because high interest rate currencies depreciate on average when domestic consumption growth is low and low interest rate currencies appreciate under the same conditions, low interest rate currencies provide domestic investors with a hedge against domestic aggregate consumption growth risk. (JEL E21, E43, F31, G11)

Date: 2007
Note: DOI: 10.1257/aer.97.1.89
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Related works:
Working Paper: The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk (2006)
Working Paper: The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk (2006)
Working Paper: THE CROSS-SECTION OF FOREIGN CURRENCY RISK PREMIA AND CONSUMPTION GROWTH RISK (2005)
Working Paper: The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and US Consumption Growth Risk (2004)
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