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Leverage Cycles and the Anxious Economy

John Geanakoplos and Ana Fostel

American Economic Review, 2008, vol. 98, issue 4, 1211-44

Abstract: We provide a pricing theory for emerging asset classes, like emerging markets, that are not yet mature enough to be attractive to the general public. We show how leverage cycles can cause contagion, flight to collateral, and issuance rationing in a frequently recurring phase we call the anxious economy. Our model provides an explanation for the volatile access of emerging economies to international financial markets, and for three stylized facts we identify in emerging markets and high yield data since the late 1990s. Our analytical framework is a general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents, incomplete markets, and endogenous collateral, plus an extension encompassing adverse selection. (JEL D53, G12, G14, G15)

JEL-codes: D53 G12 G14 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
Note: DOI: 10.1257/aer.98.4.1211
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