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The Economic Consequences of Effective Carbon Taxes

Felix Kapfhammer

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2026, vol. 18, issue 3, 174-99

Abstract: This paper studies the sectoral and macroeconomic consequences of carbon taxes in four Nordic countries using a novel monthly measure of effective carbon tax rates. The suggested measure accounts for the time-varying emission coverage of taxes that are both explicitly and implicitly levied on greenhouse gas-emitting goods, thereby solving several issues of existing carbon tax measures currently used by the literature. Employing the new measure in a local projection setting, I find that carbon taxes reduce emissions as expected but also impair macroeconomic activity—though there is some heterogeneity in the effects across sectors and countries.

JEL-codes: H23 O44 Q54 Q58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aea:aejmac:v:18:y:2026:i:3:p:174-99

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DOI: 10.1257/mac.20230083

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