Putting the Parts Together: Trade, Vertical Linkages, and Business Cycle Comovement

Julian di Giovanni and Andrei Levchenko

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2010, vol. 2, issue 2, 95-124

Abstract: Countries that trade more with each other exhibit higher business cycle correlation. This paper examines the mechanisms underlying this relationship using a large cross-country, industry-level panel dataset of manufacturing production and trade. We show that sector pairs that experience more bilateral trade exhibit stronger comovement. Vertical linkages in production are an important explanation behind this effect: bilateral international trade increases comovement significantly more in cross-border industry pairs that use each other as intermediate inputs. Our estimates imply that these vertical production linkages account for some 30 percent of the total impact of bilateral trade on the business cycle correlation. (JEL E32, F14, F43)

JEL-codes: E32 F14 F43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
Note: DOI: 10.1257/mac.2.2.95
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (234)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Putting the Parts Together: Trade, Vertical Linkages, and Business Cycle Comovement (2009)
Working Paper: Putting the Parts Together: Trade, Vertical Linkages, and Business Cycle Comovement (2008)
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