Eliciting Time Preferences When Income and Consumption Vary: Theory, Validation, and Application to Job Search

Michèle Belot, Philipp Kircher and Paul Muller

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 2025, vol. 17, issue 1, 130-70

Abstract: We propose a simple method for eliciting individual time preferences without estimating utility functions even in settings where background consumption changes over time. It relies on eliciting preferences for receiving high stakes lottery tickets at different points in time. In a standard intertemporal choice model high rewards decouple lottery choices from variation in background consumption. We investigate robustness to other assumptions theoretically, and validate our elicitation method experimentally. We illustrate an application of our method with unemployed job seekers, which naturally have income/consumption variation.

JEL-codes: D12 D15 D91 G51 J22 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1257/mic.20220118

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