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Child labor legislation: effective, benign, both, or neither?

Federico A. Bugni ()
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Federico A. Bugni: Department of Economics, Duke University, 213 Social Sciences, Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708, USA

Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, 2012, vol. 6, issue 3, 223-248

Abstract: This paper explores the relationship between the state-specific child labor legislation and the decline in child labor that occurred in the US between 1880 and 1900. The existing literature that addresses this question uses a difference-in-difference estimation technique. We contribute to this literature in two ways. First, we argue that this estimation technique can produce misleading results due to (a) the possibility of multiplicity of equilibria and (b) the non-linearity of the underlying econometric model. Second, we develop an empirical strategy to identify the mechanism by which the legislation affected child labor decisions. In particular, besides establishing whether the legislation was effective or not, our analysis may determine whether the legislation constituted a benign policy or not, i.e., whether the legislation constrained the behavior of families (not benign) or whether it changed the labor market to a new equilibrium in which families voluntarily respected the law (benign).

Keywords: Child labor; Child labor legislation; Treatment effect estimation; Difference-in-difference estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 C25 J20 N31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History is currently edited by Claude Diebolt, Dora Costa and Jean-Luc Demeulemeester

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