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Risk sharing with the monarch: contingent debt and excusable defaults in the age of Philip II, 1556–1598

Mauricio Drelichman and Hans-Joachim Voth

Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, 2015, vol. 9, issue 1, 49-75

Abstract: Contingent sovereign debt can create important welfare gains. Nonetheless, there is almost no issuance today. Using hand-collected archival data, we examine the first known case of large-scale use of state-contingent sovereign debt in history. Philip II of Spain entered into hundreds of contracts whose value and due date depended on verifiable, exogenous events such as the arrival of silver fleets. We show that this allowed for effective risk sharing between the king and his bankers. The existence of state-contingent debt also sheds light on the nature of defaults—they were simply contingencies over which Crown and bankers had not contracted previously.

Keywords: Sovereign debt; Excusable default; Contingent lending; Spain (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: N23 G12 H63 F34 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Related works:
Working Paper: Risk sharing with the monarch: contingent debt and excusable defaults in the age of Philip II, 1556–1598 (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: Risk Sharing with the Monarch: Contingent Debt and Excusable Defaults in the Age of Philip II, 1556-1598 (2012) Downloads
Working Paper: Risk Sharing with the Monarch: Contigent Debt and Excusable Defaults in the Age of Philip II, 1556-1598 (2011) Downloads
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Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History is currently edited by Claude Diebolt, Dora Costa and Jean-Luc Demeulemeester

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