Economics at your fingertips  

Linear and nonlinear effect of exchange rate on inflation in Pakistan

Kashif Munir
Additional contact information
Kashif Munir: Al Qasimia University, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates

Theoretical and Applied Economics, 2022, vol. XXIX, issue 2(631), Summer, 165-174

Abstract: This study analyzes linear and nonlinear impact of exchange rate on inflation in Pakistan. Time series analysis is performed under ARDL and nonlinear ARDL framework to analyze that how in long and short run inflation get affected by exchange rate. Time series data (monthly) of Pakistan from 1980 (January) to 2019 (April) is utilized for analysis. ARDL model shows that real effective exchange rate has negative and significant impact on inflation in the long run, however, nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model found that exchange rate deprecation increases inflation in long run, while appreciation decreases inflation in long run. The NARDL model proves that exchange rate has nonlinear effects on inflation in Pakistan. One-way causality exists from inflation to exchange rate as well as to appreciation of exchange rate in Pakistan. Government has to formulate policies to stabilize the exchange rate, while strong financial and capital markets are required to minimize risk of exchange rate to protect the international competitiveness.

Keywords: exchange rate; inflation; ARDL; NARDL; Pakistan. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link) (application/pdf) (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Access Statistics for this article

Theoretical and Applied Economics is currently edited by Marin Dinu

More articles in Theoretical and Applied Economics from Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Marin Dinu ().

Page updated 2022-08-06
Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:2(631):y:2022:i:2(631):p:165-174