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TESTING THE RANDOM WALK HYPOTHESIS AND THE LONG MEMORY FOR THE ROMANIAN CAPITAL MARKET

Ioana Sorina Mihuţ, Mihaela Lutas and Andreea Pece
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Ioana Sorina Mihuţ: “Babeş-Bolyai” University, Cluj-Napoca
Mihaela Lutas: “Babeş-Bolyai” University, Cluj-Napoca
Andreea Pece: “Babeş-Bolyai” University, Cluj-Napoca

Theoretical and Applied Economics, 2013, vol. XX, issue Special I, 357-372

Abstract: The capital markets across different economies have always been an extremely debated subject that represents a key point when discussing about the overall degree of performance of any economy. The main purpose of this article is to test the random walk hypothesis for the Romanian stock market using a variety of econometric instruments including Lee Strazicich test, ADF and PP tests, Ljung Box test, runs test, variance ratio tests. The results obtained states the fact that the random walk hypothesis is rejected for BET Index if we analyze the entire period. In the case of stocks the results are extremely mixed.

Keywords: random walk; long memory; ARFIMA model. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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