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The impact of the Asian Crisis on Australia's primary exports: why it wasn't so bad

Ronald C. Duncan and Yongzheng Yang

Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2000, vol. 44, issue 3, 23

Abstract: This article explores the modest impact of the Asian Crisis on Australia’s primary commodity exports. Simulations using a global general equilibrium model show: (i) as capital flees Asia, investment in Australia increases and the trade deficit grows; (ii) while terms of trade deteriorate in the short run, they improve in the medium run as import demand increases in the crisis countries; (iii) exports of primary commodities expand as the crisis countries try to export more; (iv) more income‐elastic primary commodities fare less well than the income‐inelastic foodstuffs as incomes decline in the crisis countries; (v) Australia’s relatively low dependence on manufactured exports was a buffer as manufactured exports came under heavy pressure from exports from the crisis countries.

Keywords: International; Relations/Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2000
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:aareaj:117843

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.117843

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