 Do crop prices share common trends and common cycles?Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2022, vol. 66, issue 02 Abstract: Global crop prices decidedly co-move: research supporting this view abounds. What is unclear is how strong the co-movement is between them. This paper tests for a strong form of co-movement amongst global crop prices before and after the global financial crisis (GFC) using a multivariate decomposition framework based on a serialcorrelation common feature. More specifically, we analyze common trends (i.e., longrun co-movement) and common cycles (i.e., short-run co-movement) amongst the global prices of five major crops: corn, palm oil, rice, soybean, and wheat. We show that corn and soybean prices are closely associated in the long and the short run—they respond similarly to persistent and transitory shocks. Furthermore, their associations have strengthened since the GFC. In contrast, the co-movement of rice prices with the other crop prices has weakened during the 2010s. Overall, the cycles are relatively muted after the GFC, indicating that the five crop prices are trend-dominated during this period; the observed prices adhere closely to their long-run trends. Keywords: Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:aareaj:343004 Access Statistics for this article More articles in Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics from Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society Contact information at EDIRC. |
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