Risk reduction in maize production using weather put option

Todor Markovic, Aleksandra Martinovska-Stojcheska and Sanjin Ivanović

Agroeconomia Croatica, 2013, vol. 03, issue 01, 5

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to provide the basic theoretical assumptions about the weather derivatives and to quantify the risk reducing effect of rainfall put-options by applying a stochastic simulation. For this simulation we analyzed the yield data obtained from the maize producing farm located in the central part of Srem (Serbia). A nearby weather station contributed the meteorological data. To attain this goal, we analyze and compare three cases: Revenue without put-option, revenue with put-option, with basis risk and revenue with put-option, without basis risk. In comparison with having no rainfall put-option, the farmer can hedge 10.000 RSD ha-1 with the put-option, considering the basis risk, and even 20.000 RSD ha-1 when not considering basis risk. Consequently the hedging efficiency of the rainfall put-option is substantial in our example.....Cilj ovoga rada jest ponuditi temeljne teoretske pretpostavke u vezi s vremenskim derivatima i učinkom vremenske prodajne opcije na temelju količine padalina na smanjenja rizika primjenom stohastičke simulacije. Za potrebe simulacije provedena je analiza podataka o prinosu dobivenih s poljoprivrednog dobra na kojem se proizvodi kukuruz, a koje se nalazi u središnjem Srijemu (Srbija). Meteorološka postaja, smještena u neposrednoj blizini, bila je izvor meteoroloških podataka. Kako bi smo ostvarili cilj, analizirali smo i usporedili tri slučaja: prihod bez primjene vremenske prodajne opcije, prihod uz primjenu vremenske prodajne opcije s baznim rizikom, i prihod uz primjenu vremenske prodajne opcije bez baznog rizika. U odnosu na neprimjenjivanje vremenske prodajne opcije, poljoprivredni proizvođač može zaštititi od rizika 10,000 RSD haˉ¹ uz primjenu vremenske prodajne opcije s baznim rizikom, odnosnlo 20,000RSD haˉ¹ bez baznog rizika. Iz toga slijedi da učinkovitost eliminacije rizika primjenom vremenske prodajne opcije na temelju količine padalina ima značajnu ulogu u našem primjeru

Keywords: Crop Production/Industries; Environmental Economics and Policy; Risk and Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:csaeac:172543

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.172543

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