The Range of New-Crop Price Expectations Is Narrowing Early

Joe Janzen and Bruce Sherrick

farmdoc daily, 2025, vol. 14, issue 120

Abstract: Commodity options markets provide implicit estimates of the probabilities associated with future price outcomes. As uncertainty about commodity supply and demand is resolved over time, the range of possible future price outcomes shrinks. This article assesses the market's current implied price distribution for 2024 new-crop corn and soybean prices as given by the farmdoc Price Distribution Tool and discusses the implications for farmer marketing decisions.

Keywords: Agribusiness; Ag Market Insights (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:illufd:358486

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.358486

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