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AN EVALUATION OF SELECTED DECISION MODELS: A CASE OF CROP CHOICE IN NORTHERN THAILAND

Gary R. Vieth and Pramote Suppapanya

Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 1996, vol. 28, issue 2, 11

Abstract: This research examines the predictability of a profit maximization model, an expected value-variance utility maximization (E-V) model, and two versions of the target-MOTAD model for modeling risky agricultural production decisions. Model solutions were translated into expected value and variance of farm income for analysis. Direct comparison and chi-square analysis of actual and predicted expected income distributions were used in the analyses. It was concluded that the utility maximization and cash-cost target-MOTAD models predicted distributions of farm income better than the variable-cost target-MOTAD and profit maximization models.

Keywords: Crop; Production/Industries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1996
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:joaaec:15128

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.15128

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