Effects of Climate Change on Rice Yield and Rice Market in Vietnam
T.H. Trang Le
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 2016, vol. 48, issue 4
Abstract:
We evaluate the effects of climate change on Vietnam’s rice market. Results suggest that under a low-emission scenario and without interventions, rice production would drop by as much as 18% by 2030 relative to the 1980–1999 average. Farm and wholesale prices would increase by 1.86%, causing domestic demand to fall by 0.38%. The export sector would experience a rise of 6.94% in export free-on-board prices and a drop of 55.36% in export quantities. Farmers would experience a sales loss of 16.02%, whereas wholesalers would see a sales gain of 1.48%. For exporters, their sales loss would amount to 48.42%.
Keywords: Climate Change; Crop Production/Industries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:joaaec:350120
DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.350120
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