Economic Hysteresis in Variety Selection
Timothy Richards and
Gareth P. Green
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 2003, vol. 35, issue 01, 14
Abstract:
Investing in a new perennial crop variety involves an irreversible commitment of capital and generates an uncertain return stream. As a result, the decision to adopt a new variety includes a significant real option value. Waiting for returns to rise above this real option causes a delay in adoption because of economic hysteresis. This study tests for hysteresis in the adoption of wine grape varieties using a sample of district-level data from the state of California. The empirical results show a significant hysteretic effect in wine grape investment, which might be reduced by activities that smooth earnings over time.
Date: 2003
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:joaaec:37310
DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.37310
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