Zmienność komponentu upadłościowego marży wskutek zachwiania stabilności finansowej

Paweł Niedziółka

Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, 2009, vol. 2009, issue 9

Abstract: The paper aims to identify factors determining the level of spread in light of the latest theories. The author examines theories related to spread by classifying individual concepts into several categories and looks at theoretical approaches in the context of the latest financial crisis on the U.S. market. Niedziółka checks to what extent the breakdown of spread at a time of financial instability testifies to its “decomposition” on the basis of data collected before the crisis. The study makes use of rating agency data on the probability of default depending on the rating. The author also uses rating transition matrices and the theory of Markow chains to determine the share of the default component in spread identified as the difference between the profitability of corporate and Treasury securities. The main advantage of this method is that it adopts a realistic assumption about a gradual change in the quality of debt in a given time period, Niedziółka says. Considering the limitations linked with the use of the rating transition matrix mentioned in the article, the results of research into the structure of spread at a time of financial instability lead the author to formulate the following conclusions: 1) In accordance with the heuristic approach, the share of the default component is subject to reduction in favor of the liquidity component even though the default factor increases in absolute terms; 2) An increase in the volatility of spread is chiefly determined by the liquidity factor; 3) The proportion of the default component increases with the maturity of bonds; however in each case the share of the default component in spread during a period of financial instability is lower than during a period of financial stability.

Keywords: Financial; Economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/356699/files/Niedzi%C3%B3%C5%82ka.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:polgne:356699

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.356699

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics from Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by AgEcon Search ().