Modelando a sazonalidade e o processo gerador da série de tempo do emprego rural no estado de São Paulo

Carlos Eduardo Fredo and Mario Antonio Margarido

Revista de Economia e Agronegócio / Brazilian Review of Economics and Agribusiness, 2008, vol. 06, issue 3, 27

Abstract: This paper used the X-12 method, seasonal unit root and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model to identify and to model the generator process of rural employment in the state of São Paulo in the period from January 1996 to December 2006. The results show that there is strong seasonal demand for occasional rural employment from April to August for several main harvests. The seasonal unit root test detected the presence of seasonal unit root. This result confirms the presence of a seasonal pattern in the rural employment time series. The ARIMA model caught the rural employment dynamism for occasional workers. It was necessary to add three moving average parameters of small orders, beyond a seasonal moving average parameter, and an autoregressive parameter which represents the hiring of permanent workers.

Keywords: Labor; and; Human; Capital (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/53854/files/Artigo%2004.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:rdeeag:53854

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.53854

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Revista de Economia e Agronegócio / Brazilian Review of Economics and Agribusiness from Federal University of Vicosa, Department of Agricultural Economics Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by AgEcon Search ().