Assessment of the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on the agrarian potential in Kherson region

Lidia Horoshkova, Galyna Studinska, Volodymyr Mamchur, Artem Menaker and Оleksandr Menshov

Ekonomika, Journal for Economic Theory and Practice and Social Issues, 2024, vol. 31, issue 6

Abstract: The relevance of the study lies in the need to assess the impact of the russian-Ukrainian war on the agrarian potential of the Kherson region due to significant economic and ecological losses, in particular, the destruction and contamination of soils, which requires urgent monitoring of their quality and restoration of fertility to restore the agrarian sphere of the region. The assessment of the impact of the russian-Ukrainian war on the agrarian potential of the Kherson region and the determination of the prospects for its post-war recovery were chosen as the purpose of this work. The research was carried out using general scientific and special methods of studying phenomena and processes: analysis and synthesis, system analysis, method of analogy and modelling, system analysis, methods of information collection and processing. Data from the NASA FIRMS databases, Sentinel-2 satellite images, as well as images of fires from the Giovanni resource were used as an information base for the analysis. Additionally, tracking results of MODIS, VIIRS and VIIRS 2 Suomi satellites are involved. A mutual correlation of the yield of agricultural crops and the Agricultural Stress Index was carried out, which proves the absence of a serious impact of drought on the yield of agricultural crops in the Kherson region, except for the driest years. The dependence between the yield of grain and leguminous crops and the application of fertilisers and pesticide treatment was established through the use of the mutual correlation function. A model of the influence of the application of mineral fertilisers and pesticides was built using the Cobb-Douglas econometric function, which allows predicting the optimal conditions for the introduction of agricultural production. Conclusions, proposals and practical recommendations will be useful in the development of relevant programs and measures aimed at the post-war restoration of agricultural soil and the general development of the country's agricultural production

Keywords: Risk; and; Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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