ANALYSIS OF PUBLIC DEBT FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF MULTICULTURAL FACTORS

Alin-Vasile Strachinaru, Adelina-Andreea Siriteanu and Erika-Maria Doaca
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Alin-Vasile Strachinaru: Doctoral School of Economics and Business Administration, "Alexandru Ioan Cuza" University – Iași, Romania
Adelina-Andreea Siriteanu: Doctoral School of Economics and Business Administration, "Alexandru Ioan Cuza" University – Iași, Romania
Erika-Maria Doaca: Doctoral School of Economics and Business Administration, "Alexandru Ioan Cuza" University – Iași, Romania

Review of Economic and Business Studies, 2023, issue 32, 23-54

Abstract: Nowadays, the issue of public debt is an intensely debated topic, but which still requires special attention. The public debt/gross domestic product ratio in the field where it is essential in terms of sustainable research. In this sense, we direct our attention to the Latin countries within the European Union: Portugal, Spain, France, Belgium, Italy, Romania. I have chosen the 2008 - 2022 interval as the analysis paper, which captures the major events that took place at the European level (the global economic crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, armed conflicts), which affected the population of these countries. and the environment. Business. The methodological framework aims to use both a V.A.R. (Autoregression Vector Model) to establish the link between public debt and G.D.P. as well as multivariate regression. Autoregression Vector Model results, the analysis reveals that the evolution of the analyzed indicator (public debt) is explained, more by its own variation, approx. 90% and only 10% of the G.D.P. variation. More significant in the first three periods, following that after this activity the effect is constant. And to test the regression analysis we will introduce in this study as independent variables, current account, direct investment, gross domestic product, housing price index, inflation, investment, and unemployment

Keywords: economic growth; public debt; V.A.R. (Autoregression Vector Model); Multiple Regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 E44 E60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aic:revebs:y:2023:j:32:strachinarua

DOI: 10.47743/rebs-2023-2-0002

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