Performance of advanced-deep learning algorithm for modeling and prediction of rain height over some selected locations in the tropics and sub-tropics zone for radio propagation applications

Yusuf Babatunde Lawal (), Pius Adewale Owolawi (), Chunling Tu (), Etienne Van Wyk () and Joseph Sunday Ojo ()

Edelweiss Applied Science and Technology, 2024, vol. 8, issue 6, 520-537

Abstract: As demand for high-frequency broadband communication services keeps rising, rain-induced attenuation remains the predominant threat to radiowave propagation. Accurate prediction of attenuation requires continuous measurement and monitoring of rain-induced meteorological parameters, specifically rain rate and rain height, due to their spatio-temporal variations. Rain height is an upper dataset mostly computed from Zero- degree Isotherm Heights (ZDIH) measured by radar. This research proposes a novel approach for predicting rain height from earth surface data such as surface temperature, pressure, total cloud cover, dew point temperature, surface solar radiation, water vapor amount in the air, and humidity. This research investigates the relationship between meteorological surface data and rain height. Subsequently, six machine learning models were employed for predicting rain height using the ten years surface data as input variables. The models were applied to six sub-tropical (Polokwane, Pretoria. and Cape Town) and tropical (Sokoto, Akure, and Port Harcourt (PH)) stations in South Africa and Nigeria, respectively. Analysis of the results shows that the Gradient Boosting Algorithm (GBA) performed best with determination coefficients greater than 0.80 and RMSE less than 350 in all three stations in South Africa. However, all the models failed to produce good result for the Nigeria stations. The Random Forest model has the fairest performance metrics with r2 of 0.40, 0.46 and 0.46 in Sokoto, Akure and PH. respectively. GBA is recommended for predicting rain height in South Africa. The research outcome would assist radio engineers in improving the prediction of rain-induced attenuation and determining appropriate fade mitigation techniques.

Keywords: Advanced deep learning; Gradient boosting model; Rain height; Rain-induced attenuation; Spatio-temporal variation; ZDIH. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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